903 FNUS52 KILM 162018 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 318 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 .DISCUSSION... Heavy rain slowly starting to push out of the area, with a drying trend remaining. Gusty winds are expected from this system this afternoon through Monday. High pressure will finally build in from the west late Monday and linger through Wednesday. Minimum RH values decrease into the 30s by this point, but still remain above critical thresholds. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-171230- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 318 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear Clear Precip Chance (%) 50 0 0 0 Precip Type Showers None None None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 35 48 26 51 Max/Min RH (%) 97 54 92 36 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 12 G27 W 13 G26 W 10 G23 NW 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 13 G28 W 13 G26 W 7 NW 4 Precip Amount 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 6 PM Precip End 12 AM Inversion(Temp/Time) None None None 32/0800 Dispersion Excellent Good Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4400 3100 Transport Wind (mph) W 33 NW 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 146700 28500 ADI Early 37 Fair 66 Good 34 Fair 31 Fair ADI Late 51 Gen good 99 Good 13 Gen poor 31 Fair Max LVORI Early 4 3 4 5 Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 2 Min VSBY Early 2 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D D E B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with scattered rain showers. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-171230- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 318 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear Clear Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0 0 Precip Type Showers None None None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 33 47 26 51 Max/Min RH (%) 100 55 95 39 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 10 W 12 G22 W 7 W 3 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G21 W 12 G22 W 5 LGT/VAR Precip Amount 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 6 PM Precip End 1 AM Inversion(Temp/Time) Continued None 0100 35/0900 Dispersion Excellent Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 2 1 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4200 3000 Transport Wind (mph) W 35 NW 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 144900 24100 ADI Early 36 Fair 66 Good 17 Gen poor 26 Fair ADI Late 51 Gen good 100 Good 11 poor 26 Fair Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 6 Max LVORI Late 4 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D D E B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Light and variable wind. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated rain showers. Highs around 40. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-171230- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 318 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Clear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 34 48 26 51 Max/Min RH (%) 98 54 100 40 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 11 G25 W 13 G25 W 9 G21 NW 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G25 W 13 G25 W 6 LGT/VAR Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) None None 0100 35/0900 Dispersion Excellent Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 1 1 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4100 2900 Transport Wind (mph) W 33 NW 7 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 136700 20000 ADI Early 46 Gen good 75 Good 26 Fair 23 Fair ADI Late 50 Gen good 95 Good 11 poor 23 Fair Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 7 Max LVORI Late 4 1 8 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D D E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated rain showers. Highs around 40. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 93 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-171230- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 318 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear Clear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 32 46 25 50 Max/Min RH (%) 96 56 100 42 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 10 W 13 G23 W 8 LGT/VAR Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G21 W 12 G23 W 4 LGT/VAR Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) None None 2200 33/0900 Dispersion Excellent Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 1 1 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4000 2900 Transport Wind (mph) W 31 W 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 124200 16700 ADI Early 46 Gen good 71 Good 17 Gen poor 21 Fair ADI Late 48 Gen good 85 Good 7 poor 21 Fair Max LVORI Early 4 4 5 8 Max LVORI Late 4 1 9 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D D E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light and variable wind. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated rain showers. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 40. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-171230- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 318 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear Clear Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0 0 Precip Type Showers None None None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 31 44 24 50 Max/Min RH (%) 100 57 99 42 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 10 W 13 G23 W 7 W 3 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G22 W 13 G23 W 5 LGT/VAR Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 0 Precip Begin 9 PM Precip End 1 AM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1500 None 2100 33/0900 Dispersion Excellent Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 1 1 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4100 2500 Transport Wind (mph) W 29 W 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 117900 14400 ADI Early 34 Fair 61 Good 15 Gen poor 18 Gen poor ADI Late 39 Fair 79 Good 8 poor 17 Gen poor Max LVORI Early 5 4 5 8 Max LVORI Late 4 1 8 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D D E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated rain showers. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. Maximum RH 89 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-171230- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 318 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear Clear Precip Chance (%) 30 0 0 0 Precip Type Showers None None None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 32 45 26 50 Max/Min RH (%) 100 57 95 41 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 11 G20 W 14 G24 W 8 W 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 14 G23 W 14 G24 W 6 W 3 Precip Amount 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 9 PM Precip End 1 AM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1500 None 2200 34/0900 Dispersion Excellent Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 1 1 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4200 2600 Transport Wind (mph) W 30 W 6 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 125600 15000 ADI Early 33 Fair 71 Good 24 Fair 24 Fair ADI Late 49 Gen good 84 Good 10 poor 20 Gen poor Max LVORI Early 5 4 4 6 Max LVORI Late 4 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D D E B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Colder. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated rain showers. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...Boatman