696 
FXUS64 KTSA 300406
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1006 PM CST Mon Nov 29 2021

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of tonight)
Issued at 730 PM CST Mon Nov 29 2021

The overall forecast is tracking well at the moment though some
minor adjustments to the overnight lows were made for our usual
cool spots. A weak cold front continues to push southward across 
KS with this front expected to move into NE OK by sunrise. In the
mean time, expect light winds, clear skies, and cool temperatures
overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 146 PM CST Mon Nov 29 2021

Weak cold front stalls across the forecast area on Tuesday with
some mid level cloudiness and possibly a few sprinkles skirting
far NE OK. No appreciable impact to temperatures with the cold
front as values well above seasonal normals continue.
Sfc boundary loses definition by Wednesday with southwesterly
winds and clear skies tapping unseasonably warm thermal profiles
to support near record high temperatures both Wednesday and
Thursday. 
A stronger cold front is expected to arrive Friday and a brief 
window of deeper moisture return ahead of the boundary will
support a chance of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms
primarily south of Interstate 44. Rain chances end across far SE
OK Saturday with temperatures cooling closer to seasonal normals
for the weekend. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1006 PM CST Mon Nov 29 2021

No impacts to aviation operations are expected thru the forecast 
period. There will be an increase in mid and high level cloud cigs
near the Kansas and Missouri borders in association with an upper
disturbance on Tuesday, clearing by evening. Sfc winds will 
remain light, even with weak boundary moving into NE OK/NW AR.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   41  69  41  71 /   0   0   0   0 
FSM   41  72  44  72 /   0   0   0   0 
MLC   43  71  45  71 /   0   0   0   0 
BVO   34  67  37  71 /   0   0   0   0 
FYV   39  68  42  67 /   0  10   0   0 
BYV   43  66  44  68 /   0  10   0   0 
MKO   40  69  42  69 /   0   0   0   0 
MIO   40  64  40  67 /   0   0   0   0 
F10   41  70  42  70 /   0   0   0   0 
HHW   41  72  45  71 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...30