412 
FXUS64 KMEG 201145
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
545 AM CST Sat Nov 20 2021

.UPDATE...


12Z Aviation Discussion Below


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 324 AM CST Sat Nov 20 2021/ 

DISCUSSION...

Temperatures are in the low to mid 30s across the Midsouth. High
clouds and light south wind should limit much additional cooling
before sunrise.  

Zonal flow is in place across the Midsouth. Over the next 36 hours
or so a ridge will strengthen over the western US and a positively
tilted trough will track across the northern Plains into the
Midwest. An associated cold front will approach the Midsouth early
Sunday. Rain showers with embedded thunderstorms will overspread 
most of the Midsouth before noon Sunday. Strong or severe 
thunderstorms do not look likely. Most of the area can expect one
quarter to one half of an inch of rainfall.  

Behind the front, some of the coldest temperatures of the Fall are
expected early next week. High temperatures Monday should be in
the 40s across much of the area with morning lows Tuesday in the
low to middle 20s. 

Dry conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday with a chance
of rain returning late Wednesday as another cold front approaches
the area. Thanksgiving looks wet across the Midsouth. Friday into
the weekend looks fairly dry with seasonable temperatures.  

30

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFs

VFR conditions for this TAF set. Wind is southerly <5kts. Wind
will pick up 8-12kts through the rest of today before decreasing
later this evening and should remain southerly. The low-level jet
may result in minor compression issues during the overnight 
period late tonight. Confidence was low so held off LLWS in the 
TAF set. VCSH/-SHRAs tomorrow morning as the cold front begins 
crossing the area. 

SMW


&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$