287 
FNUS73 KUNR 180809
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for FT 16 fire...US FOREST SERVICE
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
109 AM MST Thu Nov 18 2021

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0200 MST on November 18. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Milder temperatures are expected today and tomorrow,
with highs climbing into the 40s this afternoon and 50s tomorrow 
afternoon. Ongoing west to northwest winds will become light this 
morning before increasing out of the south this afternoon. Steady
southerly flow will then continue into the night. With a fairly dry
air mass in place, minimum relative humidity values today and 
tomorrow are expected to fall into the upper teens to low 20s. 


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear. 
Min temperature.....Around 15. 
Max humidity........59 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West to northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 
                    around 25 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Mixing height.......800 to 1300 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 44. 
Min humidity........20 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West 5 to 10 mph becoming south 10 to 15 mph 
                    in the afternoon. Gusts to around 20 mph in the
                    afternoon. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated 
                    fire growth. 
Mixing height.......1900 to 2400 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the south in the 
                    afternoon. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. 
Min temperature.....Around 30. 
Max humidity........49 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....South 30 to 35 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max temperature.....Around 55. 
Min humidity........19 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........West 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. 

$$
Forecaster...KS
Requested by...Dustin Plooster
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2121331.0/UNR
.DELDT 11/18/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL Dustin.plooster@usda.gov