235 FXUS64 KOHX 072014 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 214 PM CST Sun Nov 7 2021 .DISCUSSION... Dry remains the name of the game for the first half of the week, with some fog chances again tonight. Upper low to our southeast will continue moving off into the Atlantic, and the ridge over the Plains will move eastward to begin its steady weakening over the next few days. Being between the low and ridge has given pretty weak flow near the surface, and yielding light and variable winds. That will continue on Monday, but by Tuesday, as the upper ridge weakens to more of a zonal flow pattern, southerly flow will return at the surface to keep highs around 70 for most of the mid state through Wednesday. Late in the day Wednesday, a strong Plains trough and cold front will move towards the region, and rain chances will increase after midnight into the morning Thursday. Best chances for rain look to be during the day Thursday into the evening, with some lingering chances possible in the east late Thursday night into the day Friday. Models continue to move the precip out faster on Friday, so went ahead and backed off pops a little more during the day/evening Friday. Total rainfall amounts are generally around an inch or less across the area. Models also still showing another lobe of the upper trough moving in Saturday, but now showing a little bit of moisture with the wave as well. The Plateau may have a little more support and able to squeeze out more moisture, so added pops in for the Plateau later on Saturday. Colder temps will move in with the second wave as it reinforces CAA, so if any moisture is left late Saturday into early Sunday, some flurries may mix in on the Plateau. Highs next weekend will struggle to get into the low 50s with lows still looking to be in the upper 20s/low 30s across the area. && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF DISCUSSION. As the main axis of high pressure moves overhead, expect clear skies and light/variable winds through much of the TAF period. Could see a repeat of low VIS overnight with ideal conditions for decoupling, especially at MQY and CKV as they saw moisture advection from nearby water sources. BNA and CSV didn't have this issue so VIS reduction not at likely there. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 37 71 40 72 45 / 0 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 35 69 40 70 43 / 0 0 0 0 0 Crossville 35 67 39 69 43 / 0 0 0 0 0 Columbia 35 71 39 72 44 / 0 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 38 70 40 70 44 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waverly 39 70 42 71 45 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION......Barnwell AVIATION........05