512 FXUS63 KILX 070457 AFDILX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lincoln IL 1157 PM CDT Sat Nov 6 2021 .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 256 PM CDT Sat Nov 6 2021 A warming trend will continue to send temperatures above normal this weekend, along with mostly clear skies. The dry and warmer weather will continue into early next week. Breezy south to southwest winds will accompany the warmer air. && .UPDATE... Issued at 759 PM CDT Sat Nov 6 2021 Fair weather continues across central Illinois under the influence of high pressure that stretches along the Ohio River Valley. A light southerly gradient will help prop up temps overnight relative to recent nights. Temps are on track for lows in the mid 30s across east central Illinois to around 40F near the Illinois River Valley. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday) ISSUED AT 256 PM CDT Sat Nov 6 2021 Sunny/clear skies will continue through tomorrow as the high pressure ridge remain east of the area, keeping southwesterly winds across the area. These winds will bring plenty of warm air back into the area for tomorrow, with highs reaching into the middle 60s. These warm advection winds will also bring warmer overnight temperatures as well, falling only into the middle to upper 30s by morning. .LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday) ISSUED AT 256 PM CDT Sat Nov 6 2021 Warm air advection is expected to continue the first part of the week as a cold front pushes into the area. Monday's highs are projected to reach into the upper 80s and breezy southwest winds push much warmer air into the area. A cold front will drop into the area Tuesday through Tuesday night, but moisture will be quite limited so thinking is any precip will be drizzle or widely scattered Tue night through Wed, resulting in very low/non- mentionable pops. The real chances of precip will return for late Wed afternoon through the end of the week as a second cold front and low pressure area moves in with more moisture this time. Currently just have rain in the forecast but isolated thunderstorms could become possible late Wed night through Thur afternoon as the front moves in and depending on how high dwpts get through that time period. For now will leave out thunder, but don't be surprised if it gets added later. As the large low pressure area associated with this system lifts to the north and east, cyclonic flow will persist across the area the rest of the week and into the weekend, with small chances of rain. Cloud cover and northwest winds will also keep temps on the cooler side, with afternoon highs only reaching the 40s for Fri and Sat. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night) Issued at 1157 PM CDT Sat Nov 6 2021 High pressure will remain anchored along the Ohio River Valley through the period resulting in south winds and VFR conditions. Expect a modest uptick in wind speeds above 10 kt Sunday afternoon with gusts in the high teens for the western most sites PIA/BMI/SPI. Winds will drop off again around sunset. && .ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ UPDATE...Deubelbeiss SYNOPSIS...Auten SHORT TERM...Auten LONG TERM...Auten AVIATION...Deubelbeiss