734 
FXUS64 KTSA 161658
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1158 AM CDT Thu Sep 16 2021

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions will largely prevail. Isolated afternoon storms are
again possible and best handled with short term updates. Patchy
fog may develop across portions of NW AR however coverage and
intensity is uncertain. 

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1044 AM CDT Thu Sep 16 2021/ 

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Forecast appears largely on track with another day of above normal
temps with very low chances of afternoon storms. Mid/upper level
low centered over western OK is not expected to influence the
region much today as it remains nearly stationary. 12z regional
RAOBS depict some mid level drying compared to yesterday and most
short term guidance favors lower coverage of afternoon storms
compared to yesterday. The currently expanding cu field into SE OK
and NW AR is the most notable near term signal that would suggest
any higher chances will be largely terrain influenced. Updated
forecast will adjust sky cover and incorporate observed trends.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   92  68  93  68 /   0   0   0   0 
FSM   90  69  91  69 /   0   0  20   0 
MLC   90  66  91  66 /   0   0  10   0 
BVO   91  65  92  65 /   0   0   0   0 
FYV   88  62  89  62 /   0   0  20   0 
BYV   87  64  88  64 /   0   0  20   0 
MKO   90  66  91  66 /   0   0  10   0 
MIO   90  64  91  64 /   0   0  10   0 
F10   90  66  91  66 /   0   0  10   0 
HHW   90  68  91  68 /   0   0  20   0 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION.....07