132 
FXUS64 KMEG 130824
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
324 AM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

.DISCUSSION...

All eyes are on the tropics this morning. The track of tropical
storm Nicholas will be the main factor in the weather across the
Midsouth for the upcoming work week. Synoptically, zonal flow 
early this week will transition to weak northwest flow after 
midweek, with another ridge building in over the weekend. 

Tropical storm Nicholas is forecast to move onshore in Texas this
afternoon, then slowly move into north Louisiana midweek, and
eventually into central Mississippi after midweek. If this
forecast is correct, we shouldn't see any significant impact in
the Midsouth, but clouds and some rain should keep temperatures in
check. portions of north Mississippi may see around an inch of 
rainfall. Expect high temperatures in the mid 80s during the work 
week. Morning lows should be in the mid 60s to near 70 degrees.

Next weekend looks drier and possibly a bit warmer as a ridge
redevelops across the Southeastern US 

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/06z TAFs/

Patchy fog continues to affect some of the low-lying areas across
west TN and northeast MS, including the MKL vicinity. Otherwise,
expect prevailing VFR conditions at the remaining TAF sites. Light
winds overnight will become southerly at 8-12 kts by midday with
occasional gusts near 20 kts at JBR during the afternoon. Isolated
showers are expected, mainly between 18-00z, but coverage should
remain somewhat limited and confidence is low that terminals will
be directly affected. No changes to VCSH remarks from previous
TAFs.

MJ

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$