234 
FXUS63 KGID 082347
AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
647 PM CDT Wed Sep 8 2021

...Aviation Update...

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Wed Sep 8 2021

The dry air that resulted in low temperatures in the 40s and 50s 
this morning has allowed temperatures to rebound quickly into the 
80s this afternoon. Nearly cloud-free skies persist across the 
area currently, with only a few midlevel clouds expected through 
tonight. Overnight lows are expected to be a couple degrees warmer
than this morning, but overall pretty similar. 

Dry conditions continue Thursday and Friday. The only significant
change will be increasing heat, especially on Friday as the upper
level ridge moves overhead. Widespread highs in the 90s are 
likely and some parts of Kansas and western Nebraska could 
approach or exceed 100 degrees. 

A cold front is forecast to move into the area on Saturday. As a 
result, the temperature forecast becomes a little more uncertain. 
Northern areas may dip down a few degrees, but southern areas will
likely still make a run into the upper 90s. The shortwave trough 
responsible for this front may produce a few showers or 
thunderstorms, but this likely will not be anything significant or
widespread. 

The upper level pattern then remains more zonal with occasional 
perturbations bringing slight chances for rain/t-storms Sunday 
night thorugh Monday. It still looks like the best chance for 
appreciable rainfall will be with the next front Tuesday or 
Tuesday night. But even then, there is a chance that this ends up 
being largely south of the forecast area. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Friday)
Issued at 647 PM CDT Wed Sep 8 2021

VERY high confidence in VFR ceiling and dry conditions through 
the period...high confidence in VFR visibility. 

About the only possible caveat to VFR would be a VERY outside 
chance of some light haze around sunrise, but even this appears 
rather improbable in this seasonably-dry airmass. Otherwise, some
passing mid level clouds (based around 8K ft) are possible
overnight, but otherwise mainly clear skies throughout. 

Sustained winds will average around-to-below 10KT throughout the
period, with a light speed/variable direction regime tonight 
giving way to a bit steadier southeasterly breeze during the day
Thursday (perhaps a few gusts up to around 15KT in the afternoon). 

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Pfannkuch