759 
FXUS63 KTOP 060850
AFDTOP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
350 AM CDT Mon Sep 6 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 335 AM CDT Mon Sep 6 2021

Forecast Key Points:

- Warm Today, Cooler Tomorrow, Warming Up Wed - Sun
- Dry Conditions into Next Week

As of 09Z Monday morning, northwest mid-level flow was present 
across the Plains with a ridge across the southwest US. The surface 
ridge from yesterday will move east of the area by afternoon, 
allowing low-level WAA to return. Boundary layer mixing heights are 
forecast to range from near 900 mb in east-central KS to around 850 
mb in north-central. As a result, afternoon highs are progged to 
range from the mid-80s across east-central KS to the low-90s across 
north-central KS. 

Transitioning into the extended period, a shortwave trough is 
forecast to eject from the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest 
Tuesday. An attendant surface trough axis is expected to traverse 
the forecast area, reducing temperatures to the upper 70s/low 80s 
for Wednesday. Limited available moisture should keep the area dry 
Tuesday. Temperatures will be on the rise once again for the second 
half of the week as the western US ridge overspreads the central and 
southern Plains. High temperatures are expected to steadily rise 
through the second half of the week into next week with highs 
nearing 90 Friday - Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1056 PM CDT Sun Sep 5 2021

VFR conditions continue through the period. May see some MIFG
mainly at the KTOP airfield. Not confident in this happening so
will likely require amendment upon occurrence but should have
little impact with regard to aviation hazards.


&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Baerg
AVIATION...Drake