107 FXUS63 KSGF 060440 AFDSGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 1140 PM CDT Sun Sep 5 2021 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday) Issued at 215 PM CDT Sun Sep 5 2021 An upper level trough is moving off to the east of the area as surface high pressure is moving across the region this afternoon. A slightly cooler air mass is in place as highs in the upper 70s to the middle 80s are expected this afternoon. Lows tonight will drop into the upper 50s to the lower 60s. The surface high pressure will start to move off to the east on Monday allowing southerly winds to return to the region. Highs on Monday are expected to warm into the middle to upper 80s under plenty of sunshine. .LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday) Issued at 215 PM CDT Sun Sep 5 2021 An upper level trough will move across the plains on Tuesday then across the area Tuesday night. A weak cold front will move south through the area Tuesday evening ahead of the trough. A warmer air mass will remain in place ahead of the front as highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s occur on Tuesday. A dry air mass will be in place along with a decent cap, which will result in the frontal passage being dry as it moves through the area. A slightly cooler air mass will move over the area on Wednesday and Thursday as highs in the lower to middle 80s are generally expected. Lows Wednesday night will fall into the middle 50s to the lower 60s, and some lower 50 readings are not out of the questions across parts of the eastern Ozarks. The upper level ridge will build back towards the region Friday into next weekend. Highs in the middle 80s to the lower 90s are expected on Friday with highs in the upper 80s to middle 90s expected next weekend. Not expecting much in the way of rain this week. A system may move through the region during the early/middle of the following week and may bring the next rain chances to the region. Still a lot of questions with this system being over a week away. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night) Issued at 1136 PM CDT Sun Sep 5 2021 KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Sfc high pressure will move southeast through the area early in the period with light winds gradually becoming s-sw after 12z. Some areas of locally shallow dense fog will be possible 09z-14z in cooler valley terrain, otherwise, expect VFR conditions. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...Wise LONG TERM...Wise AVIATION...DSA