504 
FXUS64 KSHV 310528 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1228 AM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

.AVIATION...
Generally VFR conditions are expected for much if not all of the
06Z TAF period over much of the region. The exception is MLU,
where the back edge of MVFR cigs linger on the backside of TD Ida,
with the lower cigs possibly expanding a bit farther WSW 
overnight while lowering through daybreak. However, should these 
cigs linger through daybreak, they will gradually lift by mid to 
late morning, with a sct cu field developing areawide by late 
morning/midday. Isolated convection will be possible this 
afternoon across portions of Deep E TX and NCntrl LA S of I-20, 
but low confidence precludes any thunder mention at the LFK 
terminal attm. The cu will diminish by/shortly after 00Z (but may 
persist a bit longer at LFK), with SKC expected through the 
remainder of the TAF period. Lt/Vrb winds tonight, except NW 
5-7kts at ELD/MLU, will become NNW 5-10kts after 15Z. /15/ 

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 912 PM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021/ 

UPDATE...
Stable conditions forecast tonight as a dissipating Ida continues
northeast away from the ArkLaMiss into northern Mississippi. 
Winds have diminished to near calm across most locations with a 
lingering 5 to 10 mph across Monroe and El Dorado. For this 
forecast, went ahead and realigned winds to match current obs and 
removed Lake Wind Advisory wording. Additionally, removed precip 
wording areawide. Otherwise, the forecast is on track. Update 
already out. /05/

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  73  95  76  97 /  20  10  10  20 
MLU  72  92  73  94 /  20  10  10  20 
DEQ  70  93  72  96 /  10  10   0   0 
TXK  73  94  75  96 /  20  10   0  10 
ELD  69  91  71  94 /  20  10   0  10 
TYR  74  95  76  97 /   0  20  10  20 
GGG  72  94  74  96 /  10  20  10  20 
LFK  74  98  75  97 /  10  30  20  40 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

15