932 
FXUS62 KJAX 110639
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
239 AM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

.Near Term.../through Thursday/...

Low level moisture and light winds will once again create the 
potential for fog this morning.

High pressure ridge will extend across the region from a center to 
the northeast this period. This will continue the onshore flow 
pattern from the Atlantic, with the sea breeze moving well inland 
through the afternoon. The combination of diurnal instability and 
the sea breeze will bring the chance for showers and storms each 
afternoon. The chance will focus over eastern counties early in the 
afternoons, then further inland later in the day. 

Temperatures will trend a little below normal Today, then near 
normal for Tonight and Thursday.  

&&

.Short Term.../Thursday night through Saturday/...

Surface high pressure will be northeast of the region this period, 
as the center slowly moves a little further to the northeast. The 
overall pattern of onshore flow from the Atlantic will continue this
period, with the east coast sea breeze pushing inland each 
afternoon. Again, the best chance for convective activity will be 
earlier in the day at the coast, then later in the day inland. As 
Tropical Storm Fred is expected to start pushing added moisture 
north into area during the day Saturday, this will increase 
convective chances. 

Temperatures will be near normal through Friday night, then a little
below on Saturday. 
  
&&

.Long Term.../Saturday night through Tuesday/...

The forecast this period, will be driven in large part by the 
strength and track of Tropical Storm Fred. On its current NHC 
forecasted track the main impact for local forecast area will be 
added rainfall potential. Showers and storms will be common 
throughout this period, with the potential for heavy rainfall. 
With the ground saturated in many areas, and some rivers already 
in flood, additional flooding anticipated.

Temperatures will trend near normal during the nights, but a little 
below during the day times.

&&

.Marine...

Surface high pressure will be northeast of the region through 
Saturday. Marine interests should continue to monitor the NHC 
forecast track of Tropical Storm Fred for later this weekend into 
early next week, as it may produce impacts to local area coastal 
waters. 
 
Rip Currents: SE GA: Moderate through Thursday
              NE FL: Moderate through Thursday

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  91  73  92  72  93 /  30  10  30  10  20 
SSI  86  78  88  78  88 /  30   0  20   0  10 
JAX  89  75  92  75  91 /  30  10  20   0  20 
SGJ  87  76  89  76  89 /  30  10  20  10  30 
GNV  91  74  92  73  91 /  40  50  40  10  40 
OCF  91  73  92  73  91 /  40  50  50  10  50 

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&