827 
FXUS63 KICT 271715
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1215 PM CDT Tue Jul 27 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 201 AM CDT Tue Jul 27 2021

The very high precipitable water axis and MCV interaction that was 
responsible for all yesterday's showers/storms will not be in play 
for today. The high precipitable water axis will shift southward 
into Oklahoma, however cannot rule out a rogue shower or storm 
for this afternoon. Upper level ridge center will be over Kansas
for this period. This will allow the heat to build over the area 
for today, and especially on Wednesday into Thursday when 
dangerous heat indices look more likely. We will hoist a heat 
advisory across the entire area for Today- Thursday. 

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 201 AM CDT Tue Jul 27 2021

Models show heat maintaining across the area for Friday-Saturday, 
with a low level boundary sagging southward into central/eastern 
Kansas for Saturday afternoon/night. This could allow a few showers 
and storms to spread into parts of central/southeast Kansas. Heading 
into Sunday and Monday surface high pressure looks to build 
southwest into Kansas which will bring cooler than normal 
temperatures to the region. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1157 AM CDT Tue Jul 27 2021

VFR conditions are expected through the period.

An upper level ridge has placed itself over the Central and Northern 
Plains. The ridge is expected to strengthen over the region as it 
expands in size. Some diurnal cumulus will be possible today with 
left over moisture, but this should come to an end by 00z. The 
moisture axis should shift south leaving behind clear skies. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    95  74  97  74 /  10   0   0   0 
Hutchinson      96  73  97  73 /  10   0   0   0 
Newton          95  73  97  73 /  10   0   0   0 
ElDorado        93  74  97  74 /  10   0   0   0 
Winfield-KWLD   94  74  97  74 /  10   0   0   0 
Russell         98  73 100  73 /   0   0   0   0 
Great Bend      98  71 100  72 /  10   0   0   0 
Salina          97  74  99  75 /  10   0   0   0 
McPherson       96  72  98  73 /  10   0   0   0 
Coffeyville     93  74  95  74 /  10   0   0   0 
Chanute         93  74  95  75 /  10   0   0   0 
Iola            93  74  95  74 /  10   0   0   0 
Parsons-KPPF    93  74  95  74 /  10   0   0   0 

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...CRW