881 
FXUS64 KTSA 080540
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1240 AM CDT Thu Jul 8 2021

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Mostly clear to broken mid clouds are forecast over the CWA
tonight in response to a surface boundary positioned across
Northeast Oklahoma and far Northwest Arkansas. Late tonight into
early Thursday morning...there is potential for some reduced
visibility and MVFR conditions north of the boundary and will
carry Tempo groups for BVO/XNA/ROG. During the day Thursday...few
to scattered mid/high clouds are again forecast for the CWA. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms could be possible Thursday with the
greater potential of the isolated precip mainly during the 
afternoon hours across Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. 
This activity looks to be mainly south of MLC to FSM and as such 
will hold off on mentioning in the TAFs at this time. By Thursday 
evening...mostly clear to some scattered mid clouds are forecast. 
Light and variable winds should remain common through the majority
of the TAF period.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 943 PM CDT Wed Jul 7 2021/ 

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Earlier scattered convection has dissipated with the loss of
heating. 00Z CAMs suggests that an isolated shower/storm will
be possible overnight, but chances and coverage is expected to
be minimal so will remove mentionable PoPs for the remainder
of the night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  93  75  92 /   0   0  10  30 
FSM   74  94  74  92 /   0  10  10  20 
MLC   71  90  72  90 /   0  10  10  20 
BVO   71  92  73  91 /   0   0  10  40 
FYV   69  91  71  88 /   0  10  10  30 
BYV   70  91  72  89 /   0  10  10  30 
MKO   72  90  72  90 /   0   0  10  20 
MIO   71  91  73  88 /   0   0  10  40 
F10   71  90  72  91 /   0   0  10  20 
HHW   72  88  72  90 /   0  10   0  20 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION.....20