983 
FXUS63 KLBF 261752
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1252 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 345 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

Active weather will continue through the short term as an upper 
level trough pushes across the central Plains. This trough will 
support some isolated convection this afternoon and evening. Best 
location to see development will be across the eastern Panhandle and 
into the central Sandhills where the best instability and lift will 
be situated. Even then, instability remains weak and therefore, not 
anticipating any severe storms tonight. 

A better chance of storms returns on Sunday afternoon and evening. 
As the trough deepens across the High Plains, forcing will increase 
leading to convective initiation. With better CAPE and steeper low 
level lapse rates Sunday evening, thunderstorms will be allowed to 
develop. While widespread severe storms are not expected, a few 
isolated stronger or briefly severe storms may still be possible. At 
this time, SPC does not have our region outlooked, but all signs are 
indicating it might be necessary in a future update, even if it is 
just a marginal risk. 

Otherwise, clouds and rain will keep temperatures on the cooler side 
of guidance. Expect highs to only rise into the 70s today and 
tomorrow, with lows dropping into the 50s.  

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 345 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

The active pattern continues into Monday as the upper level trough 
begins to move out of the region. In its wake, a weak upper level 
low is expected to develop. This will keep rain and isolated 
thunderstorm chances around through Monday evening. 

Dry and quiet conditions will then return for Monday night through 
the rest of the extended period. A strong upper level ridge will 
build across the western US resulting in surface high pressure to 
develop across the central Plains. 

After another cooler day on Monday due to continued rain and clouds, 
temperatures will begin to climb once again on Tuesday and through 
the rest of the week. High temperatures return to the mid to upper 
80s by Friday with lows gradually rising as well into the upper 50s 
to low 60s by Friday night.  

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1249 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

VFR conditions are expected to persist for the next 24 hours 
across western and north central Nebraska. Gusty northerly winds 
will last into the late afternoon, then decrease and begin to 
shift to the northwest into the evening. After the gusts, winds 
should be 10 knots or less. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy 
with the possibility of showers and thunderstorms through the 
forecast period. 

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...Kulik
AVIATION...Meltzer