424 
FNAK79 PAFG 190221
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Dry Creek #195...AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
621 PM AKDT Fri Jun 18 2021

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 AKDT on June 18. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level low pressure trough just east of Fairbanks will move west 
over the fire area after midnight and bring some isolated showers. 
A second upper level low pressure trough far southeast of Fairbanks 
will move northwest over the fire Sat afternoon. This will cause 
numerous showers and and isolate thunderstorms along with cooler 
and wetter conditions on Sat from 11 am until midnight. 
Conditions will dry and warm on Sun. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (70 percent) after midnight. 
                    Areas of smoke. Isolated rain showers after midnight.            
CWR.................0 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Min temperature.....Around 54. 
Max humidity........83 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 5 mph becoming light after midnight. 
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 3 mph. 
Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 mph. 
Inversion setup.....1 AM. 

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Areas of smoke in the 
                    morning. Isolated rain showers in the morning,
                    with numerous rain showers from 11am into the afternoon.  
                    Isolated thunderstorms from 11am through the afternoon. 
CWR.................60 percent. 
LAL.................2. 
Max temperature.....Around 65. 
Min humidity........59 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 mph in the afternoon. 
           Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 5 mph.  
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL in the 
                    afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 mph. 
Inversion burnoff...10 am.  

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated thunderstorms 
                    in the evening. Numerous rain showers in the evening, 
                    then isolated showers after midnight. 
CWR.................60 percent. 
LAL.................2. 
Min temperature.....Around 53. 
Max humidity........96 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 mph in the evening 
                    becoming light after midnight.  Gusty and erratic winds 
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening. 
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 5 mph.  
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 mph. 
Inversion setup.....10 PM 

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain 
                    showers through the day. Isolated thunderstorms 
                    in the afternoon. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
LAL.................2. 
Max temperature.....Around 72. 
Min humidity........42 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5-8 mph in the 
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected 
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Ridgetop wind.......East 8 mph.  
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph. 
Inversion burnoff...10 AM. 

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...B. Petersen
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2114142.4/AFG
.DELDT 06/18/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26