689 FXUS63 KICT 030000 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 700 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 236 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021 A bit more instability across central and southern Kansas this afternoon which has resulted in taller showers/storms with a bit more lightning as well and locally heavy downpours. So will maintain slight to modest PoPs into the early evening for the diurnally driven activity. Otherwise, the lingering upper trof over the area the past few days will shift east on Thursday. A warmer and drier pattern will commence and continue through Friday with increasing southerly low level flow beneath ridging aloft over the northern/central Plains. The gradual warming aloft should also squelch precip chances through the end of the week, though cannot rule out isolated showers/storms, mainly across southeast Kansas. Temperatures will climb closer to or perhaps a bit above seasonal climo by Friday and Saturday as well. Darmofal .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 236 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021 Weak cut-off upper low over the southern Plains still looks to migrate slowly north across eastern sections of Oklahoma and Kansas thru early next week. The environment will be one of weak flow and forcing and modest instability. So expect mainly diurnally driven/enhanced showers/storms capable of locally heavy downpours and gusty winds, though sub-severe. Temperatures should average around climo for early June. KED && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening) Issued at 658 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021 Widely scattered diurnally driven showers continue over portions of south central KS early this evening. Could see the SHRA linger for another hour or two before loss of heating leads to the showers ending. The lingering SHRA may affect the KHUT and KICT taf sites, so will continue with a VCSH for this chance for a few more hours. Could even see a few rumbles of thunder near KICT, so will go with a VCTS for this chance. After the showers dissipate or end, expect VFR conditions for most locations overnight. With lots of ground moisture still around, could see some fog develop across southern and SE KS from 09- 13z/Thu, with MVFR vsbys in BR possible for the KICT and KCNU tafs. Diurnally driven cumulus will again develop across SE KS on Thu afternoon, with another chance of SHRA for the KCNU taf sites during peak heating. Ketcham && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Wichita-KICT 57 82 60 85 / 20 0 0 0 Hutchinson 55 82 59 86 / 20 0 0 0 Newton 56 82 59 85 / 20 0 0 0 ElDorado 56 81 59 84 / 20 0 0 0 Winfield-KWLD 56 82 60 84 / 20 10 0 0 Russell 54 84 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 Great Bend 54 83 58 87 / 10 0 0 0 Salina 55 83 61 87 / 10 0 0 0 McPherson 55 82 59 86 / 10 0 0 0 Coffeyville 57 81 60 83 / 20 10 0 10 Chanute 56 81 60 83 / 20 10 0 10 Iola 56 81 59 83 / 20 10 0 10 Parsons-KPPF 56 81 59 83 / 20 10 0 10 && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...KED LONG TERM...KED AVIATION...Ketcham