592 
FXUS64 KTSA 291847
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
147 PM CDT Sat May 29 2021

.DISCUSSION...

Stubborn low clouds are finally giving way as we head into the
early afternoon. Nevertheless, it feels more like March than late
May. What a weird spring this has been. Mostly clear skies this
evening will likely give way to increasing cloud from the west
overnight into Sunday. There will be a chance of showers mainly
west of highway 75 in northeast Oklahoma thru Sunday, so the bulk
of the area will see a dry weekend. The best mid level isentropic
lift will begin to our north and west initially, before shifting
down into our region Sunday night into Monday. Rain chances ramp
up during this time. Locally heavy rainfall is possible, but the
bigger threat for some flooding is expected to stay to our west
and south. Below average cool weather will likely persist thru
early next week due to clouds and rain, though humidity will be 
increasing. Storm chances stay pretty low thru Monday, increasing
Monday night and especially Tuesday with the return of low level
moisture. A weak southern stream trough will keep rain/storm 
chances up Tuesday and Wednesday, with lower chances toward the
end of the week as it passes. Locally heavy rainfall will be 
possible Tuesday and Wednesday, with some threat for flooding
given wet ground conditions. An organized severe event is not 
expected, though isolated severe can't be ruled out.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   53  72  59  69 /   0  20  60  80 
FSM   53  76  57  75 /   0   0  20  40 
MLC   55  74  59  71 /   0   0  30  70 
BVO   49  70  57  66 /   0  20  70  90 
FYV   44  71  53  72 /   0   0  20  50 
BYV   47  71  53  71 /   0   0  20  40 
MKO   53  72  57  69 /   0   0  40  70 
MIO   49  70  56  68 /   0   0  50  70 
F10   53  73  59  68 /  10  10  50  80 
HHW   56  74  59  74 /   0   0  20  40 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....30