424 
FXUS63 KOAX 010922
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
422 AM CDT Sat May 1 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 414 AM CDT Sat May 1 2021

Today and tonight: 

Weak northwesterly flow aloft continues overhead as weak upper level 
ridging moves eastward into the Central Plains.  Increasing 
southerly low-level flow will mix out very well today creating hot 
and breezy conditions with gusts up to 35-40mph at times. Highs 
should max out in the upper 80s to low 90s. High Fire danger is 
expected across a large portion of the CWA this afternoon with 
minimum relative humidity values around 20-25 percent. We will 
continue to mention heightened fire weather concerns but 
winds/humidity/fuels look to remain below Red Flag Warning 
criteria. 

Much of Sunday should be dry with highs generally in the upper 70s 
to low 80s. A cold front is expected to push through the area during 
the evening as a weak mid-level shortwave slides northeast across 
the area. This should provide the area with likely chances for 
showers and a few thunderstorms. This activity is expected to 
continue to push southeast with the front into Monday morning
giving most of the region a shot at 0.25-0.75" of QPF.

Much cooler temperatures and gusty northerly winds are expected 
behind the front on Monday as cool Canadian high pressure moves 
into the region into Tuesday. Temperatures through the remainder 
of next week should mainly range in the 60s as northwesterly flow 
aloft keeps cooler temperatures over the area. To the west, upper 
ridging will continue build which is forecast to move into the 
Central Plains over Mother's Day weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1158PM CDT Fri Apr 30 2021

VFR conditions continue through this TAF period with LLWS of about
50kts the primary concern at FL010 through about 14Z Saturday. 


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kern
AVIATION...Nicolaisen