913 FNUS53 KAPX 301917 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 317 PM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021 ...Dry Weather Thursday and Friday... .DISCUSSION...A cold front moving through Michigan tonight will usher in colder air, and the chance for some lake effect snow, mainly on the west side of the state. However, the front leaves the region Wednesday night, allowing drier air to push into Michigan, lowering the relative humidity to 20-25% on Thursday with north winds of 10 to 15 mph. Friday, the winds will be west at 5-10 mph, but the minimum relative humidity will be in the 15-20% range, mainly. There is a good chance, on both days, the relative humidity could be 5% lower than in the forecast. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-310830- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 317 PM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Min Temperature.....27-32. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........67-72 percent...except 56-61 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of snow showers until 1200, then slight chance of snow showers. Max Temperature.....33-38...except around 30 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......30 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........38-43 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1170). Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of snow showers. Min Temperature.....15-20...except 22-27 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........61-66 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1040). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of snow showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....29-34. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........21-26 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1050). Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-310830- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 317 PM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400Slight chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....27-32...except 35-40 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........65-70 percent...except 54-59 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of rain showers and snow showers. Max Temperature.....37-42...except 28-33 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......27 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph increasing to northwest around 15 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1050). Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of snow showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....17-22. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........60-65 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (890). Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of snow showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....30-35. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........21-26 percent. 24 HR Trend......14 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1360). Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 24 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. $$ MIZ020-025>027-310830- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 317 PM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....27-32. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........58-63 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (120). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of snow showers. Max Temperature.....33-38. 24 HR Trend......29 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........39-44 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1040). Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of snow showers. Min Temperature.....16-21...except 25-30 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........61-66 percent...except 52-57 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (920). Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of snow showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....29-34. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........26-31 percent. 24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1280). Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 24 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. $$ MIZ031>033-310830- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 317 PM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min Temperature.....26-31. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........56-61 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (210). Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of snow showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....34-39. 24 HR Trend......28 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 43-48 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (990). Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of snow showers. Min Temperature.....17-22. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........61-66 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (870). Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of snow showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....29-34. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........23-28 percent...except 38-43 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1270). Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 24 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-310830- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 317 PM EDT Tue Mar 30 2021 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400Slight chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....28-33. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........62-67 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (90). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of snow showers. Max Temperature.....38-43. 24 HR Trend......26 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........34-39 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (940). Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Min Temperature.....16-21. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (880). Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1200, then sunny (20-30 percent). Max Temperature.....30-35. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........20-25 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1320). Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ JL