512 FXUS64 KLCH 152346 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 646 PM CDT Mon Mar 15 2021 .DISCUSSION... 00Z TAFS && .AVIATION... VFR ceilings are expected to lower to MVFR shortly after sunset this evening and continue lowering through the night with the loss of diurnal mixing. Guidance is in good agreement on another round of marine fog working inland overnight with the highest probability of visibility restrictions at BPT and LCH. Visibilities will improve between 14Z and 15Z with ceilings lifting to MVFR later in the morning. A stationary front across the region will begin to lift north Tuesday morning allowing scattered showers and thunderstorms to initialize within the very moist low level environment. Jones && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 237 PM CDT Mon Mar 15 2021/ DISCUSSION... This afternoon a stationary front is bisecting the forecast area with a few showers continuing along the stalled boundary with temperatures generally in the mid 70s to lower 80s depending on cloud cover. With the light winds this morning did see brief fog work in off the gulf. Water temperatures remain in the low to mid 60s for the lakes and eastern coastal waters, thus expecting another round of fog overnight as the front beings to lift back to the north. As the next system approaches the western plains on tomorrow, the warm front will lift north across the area as a warm front and showers and thunderstorms are likely along and north of the front. The winds will increase enough to disperse the fog by around 9 AM or so. A temporary break in the precipitation is expected tomorrow night with the next round of showers and thunderstorms expected Wednesday with the cold front. Still seeing the slight chance for severe thunderstorms across the northeastern two thirds of the area with the high risk across to the northeast. After the front passes Wednesday drier and slightly cooler conditions will prevail for much of the remainder of the forecast with POPs increasing in the last period of the forecast as moisture increases ahead of the next system moving across the plains. MARINE... Fog looks to be an issue tonight across the lakes and coastal waters south of Cameron Parish and Jefferson County. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible with a front on Wednesday. Breezy conditions on Wednesday may require some headlines. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 64 80 65 78 / 20 70 40 90 LCH 65 79 67 79 / 10 60 10 80 LFT 67 78 68 80 / 20 60 10 80 BPT 64 78 66 78 / 10 50 10 80 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...Dense Fog Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for LAZ073-074. TX...Dense Fog Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for TXZ215. GM...Dense Fog Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for GMZ430-432- 450-452-470-472. && $$ AVIATION...66