293 FNUS52 KILM 212057 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 357 PM EST Sun Feb 21 2021 .DISCUSSION... Drier and cooler weather will give way to clouds and increasing rain chances Monday, as a frontal system affects the area. High pressure will build in behind front Monday night into Tuesday with drying and above normal temperatures for much of next week. A dry cold front followed by a high pressure wedge will create cooler and more unsettled weather by next weekend. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-221300- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 357 PM EST Sun Feb 21 2021 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 60 70 0 Precip Type None Showers Showers None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 32 65 39 62 Max/Min RH (%) 94 75 99 39 Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 4 SE 7 W 6 W 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 3 SW 10 NW 4 W 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.19 0.09 0.00 Precip Duration 3 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing 1 AM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 None 2000 None Dispersion Poor Fair Haines Index 4 3 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 2200 3600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 23 W 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50600 53800 ADI Early 5 Very poor 33 Fair 21 Fair 30 Fair ADI Late 4 Very poor 42 Gen good 7 poor 52 Gen good Max LVORI Early 5 6 6 7 Max LVORI Late 6 4 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 5 5 Min VSBY Late 7 5 7 Turner Stability F D E B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 87 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-221300- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 357 PM EST Sun Feb 21 2021 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 70 70 0 Precip Type None Showers Showers None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 33 65 37 62 Max/Min RH (%) 93 70 98 40 Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 3 SE 6 W 5 W 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 3 SW 11 NW 4 W 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.16 0.06 0.00 Precip Duration 3 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing 12 AM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 None 1900 None Dispersion Poor Fair Haines Index 4 3 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 2800 3600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 W 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67600 58000 ADI Early 6 Very poor 29 Fair 19 Gen poor 28 Fair ADI Late 6 Very poor 56 Gen good 4 Very poor 55 Gen good Max LVORI Early 4 5 6 7 Max LVORI Late 5 3 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Min VSBY Late 7 6 7 Turner Stability F D E B Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 95 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 84 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-221300- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 357 PM EST Sun Feb 21 2021 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 70 70 0 Precip Type None Showers Showers None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 35 67 40 61 Max/Min RH (%) 95 69 99 42 Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 SE 6 W 5 W 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 SW 10 W 4 W 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.17 0.07 0.00 Precip Duration 3 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing 1 AM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 None 2000 None Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 4 3 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3600 3500 Transport Wind (mph) SW 25 W 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91100 44300 ADI Early 7 poor 31 Fair 20 Gen poor 24 Fair ADI Late 6 Very poor 62 Good 5 Very poor 41 Gen good Max LVORI Early 4 6 6 7 Max LVORI Late 6 3 9 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Min VSBY Late 7 6 7 Turner Stability E D E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-221300- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 357 PM EST Sun Feb 21 2021 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 70 60 0 Precip Type None Showers Showers None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 35 66 39 62 Max/Min RH (%) 98 68 99 42 Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 4 SE 5 W 5 W 3 Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 3 SW 10 W 4 W 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.05 0.00 Precip Duration 3 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing 12 AM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 None 1900 None Dispersion Poor Fair Haines Index 4 3 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3100 3600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 24 W 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74900 49700 ADI Early 6 Very poor 32 Fair 17 Gen poor 28 Fair ADI Late 5 Very poor 57 Gen good 5 Very poor 46 Gen good Max LVORI Early 4 7 7 8 Max LVORI Late 6 3 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Min VSBY Late 7 6 7 Turner Stability E D E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-221300- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 357 PM EST Sun Feb 21 2021 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 70 60 0 Precip Type None Showers Showers None LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 35 65 36 62 Max/Min RH (%) 94 70 97 39 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 3 SE 6 W 5 W 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 3 SW 11 G21 NW 4 W 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.03 0.00 Precip Duration 4 1 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing 10 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 None 1900 None Dispersion Poor Fair Haines Index 4 3 4 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3000 3800 Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 W 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79400 61200 ADI Early 7 poor 28 Fair 14 Gen poor 28 Fair ADI Late 8 poor 64 Good 4 Very poor 58 Gen good Max LVORI Early 3 5 6 6 Max LVORI Late 5 3 8 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Min VSBY Late 7 6 7 Turner Stability E D E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 95 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 83 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 63 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...RGZ