292 
FXUS64 KLCH 240901
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
301 AM CST Thu Dec 24 2020

.DISCUSSION...
.Short Term (Today through Friday)...Main forecast issue will be 
winds today and temperatures tonight. 

Rain was diminishing over south central Louisiana and cold front has 
quickly moved through the forecast area. Windy conditions have been 
observed behind the front with winds reaching the 20-30 mph across 
the area...with even higher gusts near the coast. For now, will not 
make any changes to wind hazards with Wind Advisory containing 
along I10 corridor for today...and expiring further north at 12Z. 
There may some gusts in the 20-25 mph over northern parts of 
forecast area...but trend should be for winds to diminish 
especially during the afternoon. Good cold advection is taking 
place and this will keep temperatures from rising today. The cold 
air mass will allow for a light freeze tonight. Dry weather is 
anticipated for Christmas Day with a warming trend beginning. 

.Long Term (Friday night through Thursday) High pressure will slowly 
shift to the southeast U.S. through Saturday and a cold front will 
approach late in the weekend. GFS and ECMWF both tend to keep front 
north of the forecast area.  Hence, dry weather and above normal 
temperatures are expected through Sunday...and perhaps Monday. Rain 
chances will increase more significantly ahead of the another 
cold front on Tuesday and will remain high through Wednesday 
night. 

&&

.MARINE...Marine hazards will remain unchanged as well.  Lower than 
normal tides and moderate to strong offshore flow will keep the low 
water advisory and gale warnings in effect for today. Winds will 
diminish tonight as high pressure builds over the region. Onshore 
flow will return on Saturday and will further strengthen early 
next week as low pressure organizes over the southern Rockies. 


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  46  29  52  30 /   0   0   0   0 
LCH  50  33  57  36 /  10   0   0   0 
LFT  48  33  54  34 /  10   0   0   0 
BPT  51  33  60  40 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Wind Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for LAZ041>045-
     052>055-073-074.

     Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for LAZ027>033.

TX...Wind Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for TXZ215-216.

     Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for TXZ180-201-
     259>262.

GM...Gale Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ450-452-455-470-
     472-475.

     Low Water Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for GMZ430-432-
     435.

     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ430-432-
     435.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...04