273 
FXUS64 KMEG 200048
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
648 PM CST Sat Dec 19 2020

.UPDATE...Evening Update. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Rain is slowly shifting to the East, the heavier rain is mostly
confined to Northeast Mississippi and near the Tennessee River in
West Tennessee. Light rain and drizzle will likely linter for most
of the night. The big question overnight is how much fog will
develop. The best chance of widespread for will likely be over
East Arkansas where more clearing is expected. However, light
winds should help keep the airmass mixed and limit fog formation.
Overnight lows should be in the middle 30s to low 40s. 

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 546 PM CST Sat Dec 19 2020/ 

Rain ongoing across most of the Mid-South due to an approaching cold 
front. With the passage of the front rain should end overnight. With 
that being said patchy fog could develop in the early morning hours. 

A ridge builds in for the beginning of the work week. Temperatures 
will moderate to the mid 50's on Tuesday. In the meantime a trof is 
building over the northern Rockies. This trof moves into the area 
for the latter half of Wednesday. There is still disagreement on 
medium range models on timing and strength. This could bring some 
wintry precipitation for north of the TN/MS border. as this system 
starts to move out of the area wrap around precipitation in the form 
of flurries. The main point is that with this system it will be cold 
Thursday through Saturday morning.

Longer term we look to dry out with around normal temperatures to 
finish the holiday weekend.  

&&

.AVIATION...00Z TAFs

Flying conditions are expected to remain rough through the 
morning hours as a cold front exits the region. Rain will persist 
through the evening with LIFR ceilings developing overnight. Fog
is also forecast to develop through the morning hours. A dense fog
advisory may be needed if visibilities get low enough. Ceilings 
will gradually rise by tomorrow afternoon before clouds scatter 
out. Winds will be light from the south- southwest.

KRF

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$