314 
FXUS64 KMEG 111817 AAA
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1217 PM CST Fri Dec 11 2020

.UPDATE...

Current satellite imagery shows increasing clouds from the west
with a cold front stretching through AR, OK, and TX. Radar shows
rain entering eastern AR. Temperatures are currently in the upper
50s to mid 60s. Little in the way of adjustments are needed to the
forecast. The only changes made were to temperatures as
temperatures in eastern AR are much cooler than anticipated due to
cloud coverage. Highs are expected to range from the upper 50s to
upper 60s. 

KRF

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1125 AM CST Fri Dec 11 2020/ 

.UPDATE...Aviation Discussion.

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 548 AM CST Fri Dec 11 2020/ 

.DISCUSSION... Rain will move into the area this evening into 
Saturday morning as a cold front moves through. A few 
thunderstorms will be possible as the front moves through. Rain 
totals should be around an inch or less. No severe weather is 
expected. Cooler temperatures will follow with highs reaching the 
upper 50s and low 60s with lows dipping down into the upper 20s 
and 30s. Another upper-level trough will develop out of the 
Rockies and move south of the forecast area. The trough will bring
another round of precipitation to the region on Sunday. A 
reinforcing shot of cold air will move in behind the trough. There
is a chance that the cold air will move in with some lingering 
moisture around to have a brief mix or change over to snow. Have 
added snow showers in the forecast for late Sunday night into 
early Monday morning. This should not be a major impact for the 
area. Temperatures will drop down into the 20s for lows and and 
40s for highs. Another upper level feature will move through the 
region Tuesday night into Wednesday morning and that will bring 
another shot of precipitation. Right now, it looks to be mostly 
rain but there will also be a shot of some snow mixed in as well. 

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAF Set

VFR conds will prevail at MEM, MKL and TUP through most of the 
day today with MVFR cigs expected at JBR before sunset. MVFR 
stratus will overspread the remainder of the Midsouth overnight 
with IFR cigs expected to accompany steadier rain at ll sites 
later in the night. Vis should remain MVFR or better through the 
period. LLWS will accompany the frontal boundary overnight as the 
low level jet intensifies. Some thunder is possible near JBR. , 
Winds will shift to the west behind a cold front. Prevailing 
showers should come to an end after 08z at JBR, after 10z at MEM, 
not until 14z or later at MKL and TUP. Gradual improvement in cigs
expected through the day with west to Northwest wind.

30 

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. 
MS...None. TN...None. &&

$$