330 
FXUS63 KICT 252027
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
227 PM CST Wed Nov 25 2020

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 221 PM CST Wed Nov 25 2020

Comparison of short range models to satellite trends for cloud cover 
shows models are clearing the low clouds out too quickly. 
Therefore as we approach sunset the back edge erosion of low 
clouds should decrease and possibly halt overnight. Fog 
development is a possibility given the combination of recent 
rainfall, light winds, and radiational cooling west of the low 
clouds mainly for locations along and east of the Kansas turnpike.
Some locations could experience dense fog development. Any 
residual fog should lift by late tomorrow morning with a cold 
front pushing south, and above normal temperatures south of the 
front for Thanksgiving Day. Dry weather with near normal 
temperatures will prevail for Friday and Saturday. Meanwhile a upper
level system will move eastward across Oklahoma on Saturday 
night, which could bring a light rain/snow mix to southern 
Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 221 PM CST Wed Nov 25 2020

Model trends have shifted position of upper level low pressure a bit 
further south which keeps better precipitation chances confined 
to southern Kansas/Oklahoma for Sunday morning. High confidence 
for dry weather to prevail Monday-Wednesday in the wake of the low
pressure system, as low level moisture is shoved well south into 
the Gulf of Mexico area. Daytime highs will be near normal for
early December. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1133 AM CST Wed Nov 25 2020

Main aviation concerns will be low clouds and fog potential over
southeast KS. 

Upper low is tracking across the Mid Mississippi Valley with
northwest flow aloft moving into the Plains. Low clouds are
currently in place across southeast KS with KCNU expected to stay
in them through around 00z. Meanwhile the remainder of the area
will see clear skies. Not out of the question some fog or low
clouds move back into KCNU late tonight as surface winds come 
back around to the south. Feel that wet grounds may also help with
some shallow fog development over southeast KS early Thu morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    31  60  33  51 /   0   0   0   0 
Hutchinson      28  54  30  50 /   0   0   0   0 
Newton          31  57  31  50 /   0   0   0   0 
ElDorado        31  60  33  51 /   0   0   0   0 
Winfield-KWLD   32  61  35  52 /   0   0   0   0 
Russell         26  50  26  49 /   0   0   0   0 
Great Bend      25  50  27  48 /   0   0   0   0 
Salina          27  52  28  50 /   0   0   0   0 
McPherson       28  54  28  49 /   0   0   0   0 
Coffeyville     30  62  36  55 /   0   0   0   0 
Chanute         29  60  35  52 /   0   0   0   0 
Iola            29  59  35  52 /   0   0   0   0 
Parsons-KPPF    29  61  36  53 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...RBL