131 FNUS53 KAPX 140805 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 405 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2020 ......More rain and wind on the way this afternoon and tonight... .DISCUSSION...Another round of rain and breezy conditions will develop this afternoon and will then continue tonight and into Thursday as a strong low pressure system and associated cold front sweep through the Western Great Lakes. Southwest winds will strengthen to 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts expected this afternoon through Thursday. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-142015- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 405 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (680). Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 9 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.16 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers likely. Min Temperature.....41-46. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Gusts up to 40 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.28 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....46-51. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........65-70 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1030). Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 24 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-142015- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 405 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (640). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to south around 18 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers likely. Min Temperature.....42-47...except 49-54 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 78-83 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30). Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.23 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........61-66 percent. 24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1130). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 21 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in. $$ MIZ020-025>027-142015- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 405 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1200, then cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....56-61. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........49-54 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (380). Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to south around 21 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.11 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers until 2400, then chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....40-45...except 47-52 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 78-83 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 36 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20). Mixing Height.......100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.23 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....47-52. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........55-60 percent. 24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with occasional gusts up to 36 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (870). Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 21 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in. $$ MIZ031>033-142015- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 405 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 1200, then cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (650). Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to south around 24 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....39-44. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 1 degree cooler near the coast. Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 78-83 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20). Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.22 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....46-51. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........55-60 percent. 24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (840). Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 18 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-142015- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 405 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....58-63. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (690). Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to south around 21 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers likely until 2400, then chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....42-47. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........86-91 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20). Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.23 in. .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....48-53. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (960). Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in. $$ .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ MR