927 FXUS64 KAMA 110504 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1204 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2020 .UPDATE...Latest GOES-16 satellite water vapor imagery is showing drier air pushing in from the southwest, as an upper level jet wraps into the upper level low over Colorado. Given that the region is being dry slotted, have removed PoPs for all but the extreme southeastern Texas Panhandle through midday this afternoon. As the upper low progresses eastward, drier air should over take the entire region resulting in no further chances for precipitation. Grids and text products have been updated based upon the latest forecast. Bieda && .AVIATION...06Z TAFs...MVFR to VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals, as a lingering low cloud deck AOA 2500 ft AGL hangs around until it gets pushed east as drier air moves in AFT 11/12Z. Winds at all terminals should be AOB 10 kts, being variable at first overnight becoming southwesterly during the daytime hours. Bieda && .PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 205 PM CDT Thu Sep 10 2020/ SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tomorrow... Upper level closed low over the Four Corners is starting its slow trip to the northeast. The main vort max associated with the low has moved across the Panhandles, bringing light showers most of the western and northern Panhandles. Those showers have since dissipated as drier air aloft moved in. The prevalent low level cloud cover was keeping temperatures in the mid 40s. Highs may not make it to the 50s unless there are some breaks in the clouds this afternoon. Another subtle wave was noted on WV satellite imagery rounding the base of the low, and this feature may help produce a few more showers later today into tonight across mainly the northern half of the Panhandles. Some patchy drizzle will also be possible mainly in the morning hours Friday, but the stratus should start to clear out of the area by mid morning Friday. Temperatures should have no problem rising into the 70s to near 80 Friday afternoon as insolation takes over. Ward LONG TERM...Tomorrow night through Wednesday... The main upper level low producing cloudy skies with cold temperatures over the past 48 hours over the Panhandles will finally re-enter the northern stream jet across the northern Plains by tomorrow night. H500 zonal flow will return to the Panhandles through the weekend before transitioning to a more light and variable H500 wind pattern next week. This will be due to a relatively small amplitude ridge of high pressure building into the central Plains which should keep any attempts of moisture advection from the Gulf confined to south Texas keeping the Panhandles dry through next week. Dry conditions with moderating temperatures is expected throughout the long term forecast period. Temperatures throughout will be at to slightly above average. If the ridge of high pressure next week builds further north, some high temperatures in the 90's may have to be introduced into the forecast once again. Meccariello && .AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ 98/15