504 FNUS74 KMAF 031318 FWSMAF Spot Forecast for Smith Canyon...Texas A&M Forest Service National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 818 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2020 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on September 03. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Very little change since previous forecast this morning. RHs this afternoon at the burn site will drop to around 23%, with 20ft winds expected to remain around 10mph, varying between the southeast and northeast through this evening. Isolated thunderstorms are possible just south/east of the wildfire this afternoon and evening, thus while immediate impacts are uncertain, erratic gusty outflow winds and lightning strikes cannot be ruled out. Recovery tonight will be very good, with similar conditions expected on Friday. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 98. Min humidity........22 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the northeast in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Sky cover.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 Temp............75 84 92 97 98 RH..............71 49 33 25 22 20 FT wind dir..SE SE NE NE NE 20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 10 11 20 FT wind gust. Mix hgt (ft)....700 4000 8800 11000 11900 Transp wind dir.SE SE NE NE NE Transp wind spd.3 3 3 7 9 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. LAL.................No Tstms until 1900, then 1-8 strikes until 0100, then No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 72. Max humidity........79 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL decreasing to 0 ft AGL in the late evening and overnight. Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 20 10 LAL.............1 2 2 1 Temp............98 89 82 76 RH..............23 37 53 71 20 FT wind dir..E E SE SE 20 FT wind spd..12 12 10 9 20 FT wind gust. Mix hgt (ft)....11900 3400 BLW100 400 Transp wind dir.NE E SE SE Transp wind spd.10 9 8 7 Haines index....2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 16 mph. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY Weather cov..... CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 30 LAL.............1 1 1 3 Temp............74 75 86 92 RH..............74 71 46 28 20 FT wind dir..E E E E 20 FT wind spd..8 9 11 11 20 FT wind gust. Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 1800 6200 8100 Transp wind dir.E NE E E Transp wind spd.5 7 13 16 Haines index....3 2 2 2 $$ Forecaster...Phillipson Requested by...Lynne Howard Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2012110.0/MAF .DELDT 09/03/20 .FormatterVersion 1.0.26