706 FNUS52 KILM 190731 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 331 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2020 .DISCUSSION... A nearly stationary front will remain across eastern North and South Carolina through Thursday, keeping good chances of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for the next several days. Transport winds will also remain light, with overall poor burning conditions expected. Bermuda High Pressure will build in from the east this weekend with fewer showers and storms expected. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-192345- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 331 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 70 40 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 4 Min/Max Temp 85 69 87 Max/Min RH (%) 65 99 65 Wind20ft/Early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wind20ft/Late(mph) S 3 LGT/VAR SE 4 Precip Amount 0.31 0.11 0.14 Precip Duration 5 2 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3740 4970 Transport Wind (mph) SE 6 S 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 21510 51440 ADI Early 14 Gen poor 14 Gen poor 24 Fair ADI Late 17 Gen poor 2 Very poor 30 Fair Max LVORI Early 7 6 8 Max LVORI Late 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 5 7 5 Min VSBY Late 6 5 6 Turner Stability C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-192345- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 331 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 70 50 90 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 5 Min/Max Temp 85 69 87 Max/Min RH (%) 64 96 62 Wind20ft/Early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wind20ft/Late(mph) S 3 LGT/VAR SE 3 Precip Amount 0.25 0.13 0.14 Precip Duration 5 2 5 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 1900 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4400 5220 Transport Wind (mph) S 5 S 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 20240 42020 ADI Early 15 Gen poor 16 Gen poor 24 Fair ADI Late 17 Gen poor 2 Very poor 32 Fair Max LVORI Early 7 6 7 Max LVORI Late 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 2 6 1 Min VSBY Late 6 2 6 Turner Stability C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-192345- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 331 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 70 50 80 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 5 Min/Max Temp 85 70 87 Max/Min RH (%) 66 98 65 Wind20ft/Early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 LGT/VAR Wind20ft/Late(mph) SE 5 LGT/VAR SE 5 Precip Amount 0.40 0.19 0.15 Precip Duration 3 2 4 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 76/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3960 5640 Transport Wind (mph) SE 6 S 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 22770 51890 ADI Early 14 Gen poor 20 Gen poor 24 Fair ADI Late 21 Fair 2 Very poor 29 Fair Max LVORI Early 7 6 7 Max LVORI Late 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 5 7 3 Min VSBY Late 6 4 5 Turner Stability C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-192345- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 331 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 50 90 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 5 Min/Max Temp 86 69 87 Max/Min RH (%) 63 98 61 Wind20ft/Early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 LGT/VAR Wind20ft/Late(mph) SE 4 LGT/VAR SE 3 Precip Amount 0.26 0.23 0.19 Precip Duration 2 2 5 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 2000 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4650 5840 Transport Wind (mph) SE 5 S 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 21390 47010 ADI Early 14 Gen poor 15 Gen poor 23 Fair ADI Late 16 Gen poor 2 Very poor 33 Fair Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 2 7 3 Min VSBY Late 6 4 6 Turner Stability C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-192345- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 331 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 50 90 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 5 Min/Max Temp 86 69 86 Max/Min RH (%) 64 97 62 Wind20ft/Early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 3 LGT/VAR Wind20ft/Late(mph) S 4 LGT/VAR E 3 Precip Amount 0.20 0.23 0.17 Precip Duration 2 2 5 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 1900 74/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4670 5420 Transport Wind (mph) S 5 SE 7 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 21480 37400 ADI Early 12 poor 15 Gen poor 21 Fair ADI Late 17 Gen poor 3 Very poor 23 Fair Max LVORI Early 8 6 8 Max LVORI Late 3 8 3 Min VSBY Early 1 6 1 Min VSBY Late 6 2 6 Turner Stability C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...MK