945 
FXUS64 KMEG 062324
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
624 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2020

.UPDATE...

Updated for 00Z Aviation Discussion

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 247 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2020/ 

DISCUSSION...

Skies remain mostly sunny across the Mid-South this afternoon with
temperatures mainly in the 80s. A large area of high pressure
covers much of the Great Lakes region at this time. A warm front
currently extends across central Oklahoma and into east Texas.

Both weather systems will remain nearly stationary tonight
allowing for one more night of dry weather and below normal
temperatures. Lows Friday morning will be in the mid to upper 60s
across much of the Mid-South. The warm front will start to move
east on Friday reaching far western sections of Arkansas by early
Saturday morning. Dry weather will continue for Friday and Friday
night. Warmer air will start to move into the region on Friday
with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Temperatures will not be
as cool Friday night with lows Saturday morning in the mid 60s to
lower 70s.

On Saturday, the warm front will move slowly east across Arkansas
reaching eastern sections of the state by early Sunday morning.
Saturday will once again be dry but temperatures will return back
to more typical summer readings with highs in the low to mid 90s.
A few locations across the Mid-South will see Heat Index reach or
exceed 100 degrees on Saturday.

The warm front will move through the region on Sunday before
weakening and falling apart Sunday night. The front may trigger a
couple of thunderstorms across eastern portions of the Mid-South
during the afternoon hours. High pressure will briefly build into
Sunday night with dry weather for Sunday night and Monday morning.

The remainder of the forecast period will see a frontal boundary
stall out across the Ohio Valley and into the central Plains
region. The front will be close enough to produce thunderstorms
ahead of it which will move across the Mid-South anytime from
Monday afternoon through next Thursday. Temperatures will remain
at or slight above normal during this time.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
/00z TAFs/

VFR conditions continue through the period. Cu field has gradually
started to dissipate across the area this evening. Latest GOES
satellite imagery indicates some high cirrus just to west. Light
NE winds will prevail overnight with winds becoming more easterly
during the day tomorrow. Not confident enough to mention possible
light BR at TUP/MKL. Thinking high cirrus may inhibit the
potential. Will continue to monitor and will amend if needed. 

17

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$