136 
FXUS64 KSJT 051946
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
246 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2020

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Thursday)

...Dry and Hot...

Unfortunately, dry conditions and hot temperatures continue to 
drive a depressing short-term forecast. Models this cycle still 
show a dominate ridge aloft, to the east - building and slowly 
moving toward Texas. So, forecast lows and highs close to 
persistence look best, for these two periods.

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through Sunday Night)

...The Bad...

The bad news is models still hold the upper ridge, over Texas,
through this next weekend. Thus, the forecast remains dry, with
afternoon highs well above those more usual, for early August.

(Monday through Wednesday)

...The Good...

The good news is models indicate the ridge aloft may begin to 
weaken, through the middle of next week. By Wednesday, the flow 
aloft may become, more or less, zonal - that's west to east. If 
so, that could cause afternoon highs to be slightly cooler, and 
perhaps closer to those more usual, for early August. Although 
the forecast for these periods remains dry, a weakening ridge 
aloft could create conditions more favorable for rain late next 
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 74 100  75 100 /   0   5   5   0 
San Angelo 	 73 103  74 102 /   0   0   0   0 
Junction 	 73 101  73 100 /   0   0   0   0 
Brownwood 	 72 102  74 100 /   0   5   0   0 
Sweetwater 	 75 101  75 100 /   0   5   5   0 
Ozona      	 73 101  73 100 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$