903 FNUS52 KILM 090730 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 330 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 .DISCUSSION... A low pressure area has moved just off shore southeast North Carolina This low could acquire some tropical characteristics as it moves up the east coast of the United States into the weekend. A frontal system will approach from the west early next week and stall across the area. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-092330- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 330 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chc (%) 50 50 30 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 87 71 92 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) N 5 LGT/VAR SW 4 Precip Amount 0.14 0.08 0.01 Precip Duration 2 1 1 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing Inversion 75/0800 1900 78/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 68 99 56 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 3970 5500 Transport wnd (mph) N 14 NE 5 Ventilation rate 54790 25300 ADI Early 31 Fair 18 Gen poor 20 Gen poor ADI Late 36 Fair 3 Very poor 22 Fair Max LVORI Early 8 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-092330- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 330 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chc (%) 50 50 30 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 87 71 93 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) N 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip Amount 0.09 0.07 0.01 Precip Duration 2 1 1 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 2 PM Precip End Continuing 12 AM Continuing Inversion 75/0800 1900 78/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 63 99 51 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4010 5500 Transport wnd (mph) N 13 N 3 Ventilation rate 50730 18980 ADI Early 35 Fair 23 Fair 24 Fair ADI Late 39 Fair 3 Very poor 27 Fair Max LVORI Early 8 6 10 Max LVORI Late 3 9 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-092330- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 330 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chc (%) 40 40 30 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 88 73 91 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) N 5 LGT/VAR SW 3 Precip Amount 0.07 0.08 0.05 Precip Duration 2 1 1 Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing 2 PM Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing Inversion 75/0700 1900 78/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 63 100 58 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4740 5500 Transport wnd (mph) N 9 N 6 Ventilation rate 43610 31630 ADI Early 29 Fair 20 Gen poor 28 Fair ADI Late 33 Fair 2 Very poor 27 Fair Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-092330- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 330 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chc (%) 40 40 40 Precip type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 89 72 92 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip Amount 0.04 0.06 0.03 Precip Duration 2 1 1 Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing 2 PM Precip End Continuing 12 AM Continuing Inversion 75/0700 1900 79/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 59 100 53 DSI 2 3 Haines Index 3 4 3 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4920 5500 Transport wnd (mph) N 10 NW 2 Ventilation rate 50920 12650 ADI Early 30 Fair 23 Fair 20 Gen poor ADI Late 34 Fair 2 Very poor 29 Fair Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$