256 
FXUS64 KSJT 231948
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
248 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2020

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Tomorrow)

This afternoon, conditions across West Central Texas are much 
more tame than they were 24 hours ago. At the upper levels, a 
shortwave trough/MCV was located over the DFW Metroplex and 
drifting eastward. Remnant cloud cover from last night's MCS was 
still wrapped around this feature, with some mid to higher clouds 
over the Big Country this afternoon. As advertised, a surface cold
front pushed through West Central Texas this morning, leaving a 
more stable airmass in place. Temperatures were in the low to mid 
80s this afternoon, with generally variable winds driven mainly by
mesoscale features. Despite the mostly stable airmass, a few 
light showers are possible this evening.

Tonight, skies will gradually clear out as an area of high 
pressure moves into north Texas, although some high clouds may 
stick around. Low temperatures should fall into the mid 60s, given
drier air and light winds expected.

Tomorrow, some sunrise stratus is expected for the Hill Country, 
but this should burn off by mid to late morning. High pressure 
will drift east, while a weak low moves over the southeast Texas 
coast. This should result in continuing northeast flow at the 
surface. There will be some increase in instability tomorrow, and 
with continued northwest flow aloft, a few localized showers or 
thunderstorms are possible. Otherwise, high temperatures should 
reach the upper 80s to around 90.

SK 

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)

Wednesday night into Thursday, upper level ridging will build back
into the area, suppressing thunderstorm chances and allowing for
temperatures to warm back up into the upper 80s to mid 90s. There
will be a persistent small chance for showers and thunderstorms
through this period generally southeast of a Brownwood to 
Junction line, but severe weather is not expected. 

Friday into the weekend, the upper level ridge will weaken some as
an upper level trough moves through the Four Corners region Friday
through Saturday. At this time, confidence is low in widespread
thunderstorm coverage, so have kept chances at Slight Chance or
less Friday into the weekend. Upper level ridging will move back
in for the start of next week, reducing rain chances again.
Temperatures will warm through the weekend into next week, pushing
highs back into the mid and upper 90s by the middle of next week. 

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 67  87  66  90 /  10  20  10   5 
San Angelo 	 67  91  68  94 /  20  20  10   5 
Junction 	 68  90  67  91 /  20  30  20  10 
Brownwood 	 67  87  66  89 /  20  20  10  10 
Sweetwater 	 67  88  67  91 /  10  20  10   5 
Ozona      	 67  91  67  92 /  20  20  10   5 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$