947 
FXUS64 KTSA 221838
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
138 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2020

.DISCUSSION...
Partly to mostly sunny skies prevail across eastern 
Oklahoma and western Arkansas in the wake of the 
thunderstorm complex that moved through the region 
during the overnight hours into this morning. A cold 
front has settled into far eastern Oklahoma this afternoon
with a surface trof ahead of it across central Arkansas 
into northeast Texas. The showers and thunderstorms that 
are ongoing are closer to the boundary moving into central
Arkansas.  

The area is expected to remain shower and thunderstorm free
through the evening hours. However, there is the potential 
for some showers and thunderstorms overnight into Tuesday
morning across southeast Oklahoma as a thunderstorm complex 
develops to our west and spreads to the southeast.

Have kept Tuesday night through Thursday dry. With the 
northwesterly flow aloft, will have to keep an eye to 
the north Wednesday afternoon and evening for a possible
MCS that may develop and head into to the area. Otherwise,
the next chances of showers and thunderstorms will come 
Friday afternoon and into the weekend as low level moisture
increases across the region.    

Have stayed very close to the NBM guidance temperatures 
through the valid period. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   69  86  64  86 /  10  10   0  10 
FSM   69  88  64  89 /  10  20   0   0 
MLC   68  85  63  86 /  30  30   0   0 
BVO   66  85  62  84 /  10  10   0  10 
FYV   64  83  58  84 /  10  10   0  10 
BYV   66  84  59  84 /  10  10   0  10 
MKO   68  86  62  86 /  10  10   0  10 
MIO   66  84  60  84 /  10  10   0  10 
F10   68  86  62  86 /  20  10   0  10 
HHW   69  83  66  87 /  60  60   0   0 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


LONG TERM....10