674 
FNAK79 PAFG 191445
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Flooded Lake...BLM
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
645 AM AKDT Fri Jun 19 2020

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on June 19. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A surface low southwest of the fire will move west today, and continue moving 
west tonight. A large area of showers extending from this low northeast 
over the fire will move west of the fire this evening. The showers will 
diminish from the east this evening. Expect about 0.10 inch of rain by 
the time the showers taper off later today.  

A thermal low pressure trough will form south of the fire this afternoon 
and persist into Sun. This will cause a slight chance of PM thunderstorms 
this afternoon, Sat and Sun over the fire.   

Another surface low will approach the fire from the southeast on Sat night 
and Sunday. This will bring another chance of rain to the fire
Saturday night through Sunday night.

Expect surface temperatures today to be 10 degrees cooler than Thu, 
with much higher RH values. Cooler and wetter conditions will continue 
into next week.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous rain showers 
                    and isolated showers. 
CWR.................25 percent. 
LAL.................2. 
Max temperature.....Around 66. 
Min humidity........37 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 8 G13 mph. Gusty and erratic 
                    winds expected near thunderstorms. 
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 10 mph.  
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the afternoon. 
Transport winds.....East around 17 mph. 
Inversion burnoff...10 AM.  

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Numerous showers 
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the evening, then 
                    scattered showers overnight. 
CWR.................43 percent. 
LAL.................2. 
Min temperature.....Around 51. 
Max humidity........76 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 mph. Gusty and erratic 
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the 
                    evening. 
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 8 mph.   
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL decreasing to 1600 ft AGL after midnight.  
Transport winds.....Northeast around 14 mph. 
Inversion setup.....1 AM.  

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated rain 
                    showers through the day. Isolated thunderstorms 
                    in the afternoon. 
CWR.................10 percent. 
LAL.................2. 
Max temperature.....Around 65. 
Min humidity........35 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic 
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the 
                    afternoon. 
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 10 mph. 
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL in the afternoon. 
Transport winds.....Northeast around 13 mph. 
Inversion burnoff...10 AM 

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Brentwood Reid
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2008274.0/AFG
.DELDT 06/19/20
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26