520 
FXUS64 KLCH 130914
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
414 AM CDT Sat Jun 13 2020

.DISCUSSION...
The combination of scattered high clouds and intermittent mixing 
wind is producing less than ideal radiational cooling this morning resulting
in a nearly 10 degree variation in temperatures across the region 
from the lower 60s to lower 70s. However, all sites are still reading
below the normal low of 72 for this date. 

Little change in the apparent of the last couple of days with 
deep ridging extending across much of the central U.S. Forecast
soundings depict a bit more moisture above 20kft which will likely
allow for more scattered cirrus today albeit with plenty of
sunshine intermixed. As was mentioned in the previous forecast, a
somewhat shallow plume of mid level moisture wrapping around the
southern periphery of the ridge is expected to result in more low
level clouds and even a few isolated showers or thunderstorms 
Sunday afternoon across south central Louisiana. This moisture
will be subsequently shunted off to the south by Monday as the
ridge builds into the northern gulf of Mexico. 

The upcoming work week is expected to be generally more of the
same with the ridge remaining generally in place across the
central U.S. while a deepening upper trof digs south out of the 
great lakes and meanders over the east coast from Georgia through
the Carolinas. The GFS is insistent in wrapping a plume of
moisture around the west side of this trof streaming it from north
to south through Arkansas and Louisiana. While this would
materially increase cloud cover and rain chances for several days,
it appears to be an outlier in relation to the other, much drier
guidance and so was discounted for this forecast package which
keeps PoPs negligible Monday through Friday.

Jones

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure is expected to maintain an extended dry weather 
pattern well into the new week. Light to moderate offshore winds 
will persist today trending more easterly beginning Sunday. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  90  66  93  68 /   0   0   0   0 
LCH  90  69  91  71 /   0   0  10   0 
LFT  90  69  91  70 /   0   0  20   0 
BPT  90  70  91  73 /   0   0  10   0 

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...66