130 FXUS64 KMAF 041835 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 4 2020 .DISCUSSION... Forecast can be summed up as hot with more hot expected. Upper ridge will build in from the west with increasing temperatures expected. A cut off low off Srn CA Coast will weaken and roll over top of the ridge before a secondary trough moves down out of the NW Sunday. TS Cristobal expected to make landfall Sunday in LA should bring rainfall to East TX before being kicked east by next upper trough. After trough passes ridge will return to the region. Temperatures will be on the increase through early next week. A Heat Advisory is in effect this afternoon for the Guadalupe and Davis Mtns... will need one for tomorrow too. Should see 100s across the west Friday with a bit cooler over the weekend. Currently Monday is expected to be hottest day in the forecast with widespread 100+ temps across the area. Looking at a weak cold front moving through late Tuesday/early Wednesday before heating back up. Continue to have good low level moisture with dewpts in the 60s over the east... isolated afternoon/evening storms are possible over the mountains. Current SWODY1 clips the NE counties with a marginal risk for possible strong storms moving down out of the NW this evening... believe most if not all of that will stay north of the area but will leave in the isolated pops there 00-06z. Models indicate orographic lift will not be enough Friday and Saturday to overcome subsidence. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 71 98 71 95 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 68 103 69 99 / 10 0 0 0 Dryden 72 100 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 71 100 71 97 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 69 96 67 93 / 10 0 0 0 Hobbs 68 98 67 95 / 10 0 0 0 Marfa 59 96 58 93 / 10 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 72 99 72 96 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 71 100 72 96 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 72 103 72 100 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...Heat Advisory until 7 PM MDT this evening for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County. Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 7 PM MDT Friday for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County. TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ this evening for Davis Mountains-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. Heat Advisory from 2 PM CDT /1 PM MDT/ to 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ Friday for Davis Mountains-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains. && $$ 24/72