423 FNUS52 KILM 031250 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 850 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 .DISCUSSION... Warmth and humidity will be increasing in the days ahead, while tropical moisture streaming from the Gulf, helps fuel showers and TSTMs late this week through early next week. Expect gusty SW winds through tonight, as a Piedmont pressure trough interacts with Bermuda high pressure. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable Type 1-F...Direction SW...Maximum Wind 37 mph at 2000 ft. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-040500- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 850 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud amount Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 89 68 88 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 9 SW 10 G22 SW 7 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 10 G23 SW 8 G20 S 8 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion 71/0800 1900 73/0800 Dispersion Good Max/Min RH (%) 48 89 55 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4330 4460 Transport wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 16 Ventilation rate 84650 71810 ADI Early 44 Gen good 47 Gen good 31 Fair ADI Late 51 Gen good 10 poor 44 Gen good Max LVORI Early 4 4 5 Max LVORI Late 1 5 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D D D Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-040500- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 850 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud amount Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chc (%) 0 0 20 Precip type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 90 67 88 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 9 SW 7 S 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 0 Precip Begin 2 PM Precip End Continuing Inversion 70/0800 1900 72/0800 Dispersion Good Max/Min RH (%) 46 90 53 DSI 3 3 Haines Index 4 5 4 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4340 5310 Transport wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 14 Ventilation rate 84850 73280 ADI Early 38 Fair 58 Gen good 28 Fair ADI Late 58 Gen good 10 poor 42 Gen good Max LVORI Early 4 3 5 Max LVORI Late 1 4 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability D D D Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-040500- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 850 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud amount Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chc (%) 0 0 20 Precip type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 90 67 86 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 6 S 8 G21 SW 6 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 9 G22 SW 6 S 8 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration 0 Precip Begin 2 PM Precip End Continuing Inversion 71/0800 1900 76/0900 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 47 93 56 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 4 5 4 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4960 4450 Transport wnd (mph) SW 15 S 14 Ventilation rate 74150 61410 ADI Early 39 Fair 55 Gen good 26 Fair ADI Late 56 Gen good 9 poor 35 Fair Max LVORI Early 4 4 5 Max LVORI Late 1 5 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C D D Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-040500- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 850 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud amount Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chc (%) 0 0 20 Precip type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 90 67 87 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 6 S 7 SW 6 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 8 SW 6 S 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 0 Precip Begin 2 PM Precip End Continuing Inversion 70/0800 1900 72/0800 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 44 93 53 DSI 3 2 Haines Index 4 5 4 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4940 4450 Transport wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 14 Ventilation rate 73850 61410 ADI Early 43 Gen good 61 Good 25 Fair ADI Late 64 Good 11 poor 38 Fair Max LVORI Early 4 3 5 Max LVORI Late 1 5 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C D D Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-040500- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 850 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 Today Tonight Thu Cloud amount Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chc (%) 0 0 20 Precip type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 91 67 89 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 9 SW 7 S 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 0 Precip Begin 2 PM Precip End Continuing Inversion 70/0800 1900 70/0700 Dispersion Good Max/Min RH (%) 45 89 51 DSI 3 3 Haines Index 3 5 4 Mixing Hgt (ft-AGL) 4860 4720 Transport wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 14 Ventilation rate 89420 65140 ADI Early 38 Fair 70 Good 26 Fair ADI Late 75 Good 11 poor 52 Gen good Max LVORI Early 4 3 5 Max LVORI Late 1 4 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C D D Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$