807 FNUS53 KAPX 170721 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 321 AM EDT Sun May 17 2020 ...A fairly long period of rain, with excessive amounts and areal flooding possible later today into Monday... .DISCUSSION...An organized low pressure system will slowly move toward the Michigan and Indiana border late tonight, before it's expected to weaken and drop SE through Ohio on Monday. Widespread rain will overspread the region later today and continue into Monday, with gusty east winds over this time. Showers may linger into Tuesday as well. Rain chances decrease later in the week as temperatures slowly warm. Humidity levels are expected to remain above critical thresholds. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-172015- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 321 AM EDT Sun May 17 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain after 1200. Max Temperature.....55-60...except 48-53 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........57-62 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Good (340). Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 12 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.35 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain. Min Temperature.....44-49. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (50). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.33-1.02 in. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain until 1200, then chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....51-56. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........54-59 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 15 to 20 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (120). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 24 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.38-1.13 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-172015- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 321 AM EDT Sun May 17 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of rain until 1200, then chance of rain. Max Temperature.....53-58...except 44-49 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (110). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 9 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.29 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain. Min Temperature.....44-49. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30). Mixing Height.......200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.43-1.65 in. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain until 1200, then rain showers likely. Max Temperature.....50-55...except 42-47 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 32 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.41-1.53 in. $$ MIZ020-025>027-172015- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 321 AM EDT Sun May 17 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of rain until 1200, then rain. Max Temperature.....56-61...except around 50 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........58-63 percent. 24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (190). Mixing Height.......900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.53 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain. Min Temperature.....45-50. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........89-94 percent. 24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 15 to 20 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.60-1.24 in. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain until 1200, then rain showers likely. Max Temperature.....52-57...except around 50 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........64-69 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 20 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (180). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.44-0.97 in. $$ MIZ031>033-172015- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 321 AM EDT Sun May 17 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Chance of rain until 1200, then rain. Max Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........58-63 percent. 24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter...except 5 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (120). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.36-0.69 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain. Min Temperature.....45-50. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........92-97 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 20 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (110). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 27 to 30 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.89-1.37 in. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain until 1200, then rain showers likely. Max Temperature.....54-59. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........66-71 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 20 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (190). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 27 to 30 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.35-0.90 in. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-172015- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 321 AM EDT Sun May 17 2020 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Slight chance of rain until 1200, then rain. Max Temperature.....53-58. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........59-64 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (160). Mixing Height.......900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.44 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain. Min Temperature.....45-50. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........92-97 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.91-1.61 in. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain until 1200, then rain showers likely. Max Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........68-73 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 20 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (120). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........0.82-1.46 in. $$ .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ SMD