686 FXUS61 KCLE 031026 AFDCLE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 626 AM EDT Fri Apr 3 2020 .SYNOPSIS... A ridge of high pressure will remain in control across the region today. The ridge will weaken Saturday, allowing a weak cold front to move across the area Saturday night. High pressure will build back for Sunday and Sunday night. A warm front will approach from the south on Monday && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Update...Added to cloud cover just a bit overnight and Saturday. Otherwise no changes. Original...Ohio remains under a slow moving surface ridge, squeezed between low pressure off the east coast and a cold front approaching from the west. The high will remain in control of our weather today although we will likely see clouds move in from the east as a surface trough swings southwest into New England. For now will continue with partly cloudy skies for the afternoon across far northeast Ohio and nwrn PA but will increase to moistly cloudy for tonight. Overnight the cold front will approach from the west reaching into Indiana by Saturday morning as the high breaks down. Will have clouds increasing from the west through the overnight as moisture increases. Saturday morning will begin dry with a mix of clouds and sun but expect the afternoon to be mostly cloudy as the front moves in from the west. Will have chance pops west for the afternoon. Highs today will range from the 45 to 50 northeast to 55 to 60 west. Saturday expect highs upper 50s to lower 60s. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... A weak cold front will ripple through the forecast area on Saturday night into Sunday. This front will have to battle a highly-amplified upper ridge over the region and will struggle to make it through the area. With that, expect scattered showers over the forecast area on Saturday night into Sunday, which will quickly diminish by Sunday afternoon. A strong upper ridge emerges over the central CONUS on Sunday night and remains in place through Monday. Strong high pressure enters the Great Lakes region and will allow for dry conditions into Monday. A warm front approaches the area from the south on Monday night and rain chances will increase late in the short term period. Temperatures for the short term period appear seasonable with 50s for highs and 30s for lows. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... The weather pattern begins to change in the long term forecast period as an upper trough tries to break down the upper ridge. This upper trough eventually wins out over the ridge and will propagate into the Great Lakes region for the the middle of next week. Several waves will move through the upper flow and allow for on and off periods of rain. The best period for rain at this point appears to be Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning as a good wave of low pressure moves northwest to southeast over the Great Lakes region. Temperatures in the warm sector of this system could get into the 60s for the middle of the week. Behind this system, expecting more seasonable temperatures into the 50s towards the end of the week. && .AVIATION /12Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/... High pressure and dry stable air will remain across the area today. Do expect an increase in cloud cover from the east today that could drop CIGS to MVFR towards morning on Saturday as high pressure breaks down. Moisture will also increase from the west overnight as a cold front approaches however expect VFR conditions to continue there. Also, could see scattered early morning fog Saturday. For now will bring fog into KCLE and KERI. .OUTLOOK...Non-VFR possible in scattered rain showers Saturday night through Sunday and again on Monday. && .MARINE... The marine weather appears to be very quiet over the next five days. High pressure entering over the region today will allow for west to northwest winds to decrease throughout the day to be light and variable by this evening. A cold front enters from the west for Saturday and easterly winds may pick up a bit ahead of the front. Winds will shift around more to the northwest behind the front on Saturday night into Sunday, but winds should remain fairly light and waves should not build up significantly over the area. High pressure becomes centered over the region on Sunday night and remains through Monday, allowing for light and variable wind conditions. A warm front approaches the lake from the south on Tuesday and easterly winds will pick up over the basin and could present some higher waves in the western basin for the middle of next week. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...TK NEAR TERM...TK SHORT TERM...Sefcovic LONG TERM...Sefcovic AVIATION...TK MARINE...Sefcovic