848 
FXUS63 KLMK 290757
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
357 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...Update to Long Term Discussion...

.Short Term...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 315 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

Behind the cold front, skies are clearing as surface high pressure 
moves into the region from the southwest. The winds are going to be 
the focus in the short term. The cold front, that just passed 
through the area, is part of a strong stacked low pressure system 
centered over Wisconsin. Between this low and surface high pressure 
the pressure gradient tightens and winds respond. The southwest 
winds will likely reach 25 mph in the northern half of central 
Kentucky and southern Indiana. Gusts could reach 40 mph in the 
Bluegrass Region. That could put the affected areas just inside Wind 
Advisory criteria. These peak winds will likely only last a few 
hours max. Currently going with a Special Weather Statement that may 
later turn into an advisory. The southerly winds and clear skies 
will help to push temperatures into the mid 60s in southern Indiana 
to near 70 in the Lake Cumberland area.

Tonight, winds will continue to slow as the low pressure system 
drifts farther northeast and the high advances east into the 
Mississippi Valley. With a few cirrus overhead, lows Monday morning 
are expected to drop into the 40s.

.Long Term...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 356 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

A weak ridge of surface high pressure behind the departing storm 
system...and ahead of the next one...will give us a dry and pleasant 
day on Monday with partly cloudy skies and highs in the 60s.

Monday night through Tuesday evening surface low pressure will cross 
the Deep South beneath an upper trough digging slightly from the 
Plains into the Southeast. This system will bring showers to the 
region, with the most widespread rains occurring south of the Ohio 
River. Amounts may approach half to three-quarters of an inch in 
southern Kentucky, with lesser amounts to the north. Any severe 
threat will be relegated to the Gulf Coast, south of the low.

The rest of the week will be quiet with high pressure reaching from 
Canada into the eastern United States. Temperatures will hover near 
normal values. The coolest mornings will likely come on Wednesday 
and Thursday when readings slip into the middle and upper 30s.

A long north-south cold front will approach us from the west towards 
the end of this forecast period, with shower chances out ahead of 
it.

&&

.Aviation...(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 130 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

The main focus during this forecast period will be the winds. 

The current line of storms are on their way out, but some guidance 
is pointing to another line possibly forming behind the first. If 
this happens, LEX will likely be the most affected. Will keep an eye 
on this. Gusty winds are expected to stick around through most of 
the period with wind shear being an issue at times.


&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

$$

Short Term...KDW
Long Term...13
Aviation...KDW