402 
FXUS64 KMAF 251918
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
218 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2020

.DISCUSSION...

An upper trough extended from WA to CA this morning with a ridge 
over Mexico and the Western Gulf.  This trough will slowly move east 
with the base of the trough reaching Srn CA by Friday morning as the 
ridge slides east. The trough will quickly pass over AZ and NM 
Friday and cross the Panhandle early Saturday. The trough will 
deepen into a closed low as it lifts NE Saturday with brief ridging 
building behind it.  As it does another trough will work down the 
West Coast Sunday and quickly swing across NM to TX Monday.

Spring time is definitely here as region having a windy week. Could 
see marginal high wind again Thursday in the Guadalupes but Friday 
looking very windy in the mountains and windy for the surrounding 
plains.  Have gone ahead and issued a High Wind Watch for Friday in 
the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains as expect very windy conditions 
ahead of the approaching upper trough.  Could end up seeing the 
Davis Mountains added at a later time but will leave them out for 
now. May see another high wind event with the next trough Monday. 
  
Having a sunny day across the region with a few high clouds with 
ample insolation pushing temperatures well into the 80s with some 
90s expected.  Thursday should be a bit warmer with a west downslope 
wind and a surface trough setting up across the area.  Highs 
Thursday should climb into the low to mid 90s across much of the 
area in what should be the warmest day so far this year.  A Pacific 
front will move across the area Friday with cooler readings Friday 
into next week.  

Models continue to throw some low pops in for the east Monday and 
Monday night so could see a few showers or storms.  Otherwise the 
rest of the forecast is dry.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Above normal temperatures will be present today through Friday with 
no precipitation expected through Sunday. Relative humidity values 
will be below 15 percent across portions of the area through Sunday. 
Near critical fire weather will be present today through Friday 
where dry and windy conditions coexist. Winds will decrease in 
strength on Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     60  92  58  86 /   0   0  10   0 
Carlsbad                       56  91  58  84 /   0   0   0  10 
Dryden                         64  95  63  93 /   0   0   0   0 
Fort Stockton                  61  93  61  87 /   0   0  10   0 
Guadalupe Pass                 55  79  55  69 /   0   0   0  10 
Hobbs                          55  88  55  79 /   0   0   0  10 
Marfa                          45  88  46  78 /   0   0   0   0 
Midland Intl Airport           59  92  59  86 /   0   0  10   0 
Odessa                         58  92  58  85 /   0   0  10   0 
Wink                           54  95  56  88 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...High Wind Watch from Friday morning through late Friday night 
     for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...High Wind Watch from Friday morning through late Friday night 
     for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and 
     Delaware Mountains.

&&

$$

80/72/88