535 FXUS62 KMLB 191836 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 235 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2020 .DISCUSSION... ...Continued Unseasonably Warm & Mostly Dry into Early Next Week... Rest of Today-Friday...Mid level high pressure persists extending across Florida from the Gulf of Mexico, as surface high pressure reaches westward from the western Atlantic Basin. Thus, warm and dry conditions will continue through the end of the week. Southeast flow from the Atlantic high pressure will keep temperatures above average. Highs on Friday look to be a few degrees higher than today. This afternoon's highs will in the mid to upper 80s inland and low 80s along the coast, while temperatures warm to the upper 80s, approaching 90, inland and mid 80s at the coast. Although temperatures will be 5-10 degrees above average, the only climate site that looks to make a run for a new record is Leesburg, where the forecast high matches the record high at 89. Southeast winds will become light overnight, before returning at around 5-10 mph Friday afternoon. Winds may approach 15 mph along the coast south of the Cape as the seabreeze develops. Fri Night-Mon...Strong ridge aloft across the GOMEX and FL peninsula will flatten this weaken into early next week with flow aloft zonal. At the surface, ridging across the area will weaken and retreat south/east with the approach of a weak front that will become quasi- stationary north of the CWA, but near our northern zones (Volusia/Lake). We do maintain a small PoP on Sun across the I-4 corridor, but mainly dry elsewhere during this period. Temps will remain well above normal with maxes L-M80s near the coast and U80s inland. Mins in the 60s. Previous Extended Forecast Discussion. Tue-Thu...The base of the large eastern CONUS trough will slide offshore the SE CONUS/FL Tue, followed closely behind by a second fast moving short wave late Wed-Wed night. Model guidance is not impressed with precip chances for either of these disturbances aloft. At the surface, the stalled front over NOFL will lift back north as warm front late Tue-early Wed, with SW flow increasing thereafter. This would portend warm temps continuing through late week, with some locations possibly hitting 90F by Thu. Mins remaining in the 60s. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions prevailing through the TAF period. Brief reductions to MVFR ceilings possible near daybreak. && .MARINE...Rest of Today-Thursday...Warm and dry conditions continue, as high pressure persists over the area. SE winds 10-15 kts this evening will continue through the overnight, except in nearshore areas north of the Cape, where winds will become SSE at 5-10 kts. Winds on Friday will again be SE at 10-15 kts. Seas 3-4 ft. Fri Night-Tue...A light-moderate southeast breeze continuing into Fri evening will veer S-SW this weekend as the Atlantic ridge axis weakens and retreats seaward south of the slowly approaching cool front. Seas 3-4 ft. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 84 65 85 66 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 87 65 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 84 67 83 65 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 83 66 83 64 / 10 0 0 0 LEE 87 66 89 66 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 87 65 88 66 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 87 66 88 67 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 83 65 83 63 / 0 0 0 0 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM/AVIATION...Leahy LONG TERM/IMPACT WEATHER...Sedlock PUBLIC SERVICE...Watson DSS...Kelly