747 FNUS72 KMHX 141136 FWSMHX Spot Forecast for Pea Island 8.1.3...fws National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 736 AM EDT Sat Mar 14 2020 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 14. If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather Service in Newport at (252)223-2328. .DISCUSSION... A cold front will push south of the region today then stall through early next week as high pressure crosses to the north. The front will lift back north through the region as a warm front mid to late next week. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 60. Min humidity........50 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 18 mph. Mixing height.......Max 2000 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 24 to 32 mph decreasing to 15 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Vent Rate...........Max 61524 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 2. ADI.................Max 61. Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........30.36 to 30.41 inHg. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)............35 35 36 36 34 28 26 28 32 34 Weather cov........ Weather type....... Tstm cov........... Temp...............55 56 57 58 59 60 60 60 60 59 RH.................58 57 54 52 50 50 50 50 50 52 20 FT wind dir.....N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd.....21 21 21 20 19 17 15 13 13 13 20 FT wind gust....27 27 27 23 23 18 18 18 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)......1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 Transp wind dir....N N N N N N NE NE N N Transp wind spd....32 31 29 26 24 21 18 17 16 15 LVORI..............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 ADI................61 59 56 51 46 40 35 32 29 27 Haines index.......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 VRate mph-ft/1000..62 61 58 53 47 41 36 32 29 27 Stability class....D D D D C C C C C B .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain after midnight. Chance of rain early in the morning. Min temperature.....Around 47. Max humidity........77 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl. Transport winds.....East 7 to 14 mph. Vent Rate...........Min 2300 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 4. ADI.................Min 6. Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........30.35 to 30.39 inHg. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%)............43 60 69 72 79 82 84 87 88 90 92 94 Weather cov........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC Weather type....... RN RN RN RN RN Tstm cov........... Temp...............56 53 52 51 51 51 50 50 50 50 50 50 RH.................54 57 61 63 63 66 68 68 71 71 74 77 20 FT wind dir.....N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT wind spd.....12 12 12 12 11 10 10 9 9 10 10 11 20 FT wind gust....14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)......1.6 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 Transp wind dir....NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E Transp wind spd....14 13 12 12 12 12 10 10 9 8 7 8 LVORI..............2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 ADI................23 14 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 7 Haines index.......4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 VRate mph-ft/1000..22 18 14 10 7 3 3 3 2 3 4 6 Stability class....B C C C C C D D D D D D .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Max temperature.....Around 53. Min humidity........77 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 17 mph. Mixing height.......Max 2700 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 14 to 21 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph early in the morning. Vent Rate...........Max 64974 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 4. ADI.................Max 55. Haines index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........30.36 to 30.40 inHg. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%)............95 98 95 96 96 91 Weather cov........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE Weather type.......RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........... Temp...............49 47 50 51 52 52 RH.................80 89 86 86 83 80 20 ft wind.........NE 13 NE 18 NE 17 NE 16 NE 16 NE 17 20 ft wind gust....18 23 18 18 18 18 Mix hgt (ft).......1000 1600 1800 2100 2400 2600 Transport wind.....NE 14 N 25 NE 22 NE 20 NE 22 NE 23 LVORI..............4 4 4 4 4 3 ADI................12 43 40 39 46 52 Haines index.......2 2 2 2 2 2 VRate mph-ft/1000..14 40 40 41 52 60 Stability class....D D D D D D $$ Forecaster...Kearns Requested by...Donnie Harris Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2004870.0/MHX .DELDT 03/14/20 .EMAIL amy_midgett@fws.gov