372 FXUS63 KIND 040442 AFDIND Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 1142 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 .UPDATE... The AVIATION section has been updated below. && .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 500 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 A few chances of rain are possible this week with above average temperatures. Warm and dry conditions are expected this weekend followed by rain likely Monday into Tuesday of next week. && .NEAR TERM /This Afternoon and Tonight/... Issued at 500 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 Winds will continue to gust up to 40 mph with locally higher gusts possible through the afternoon and into the evening. Winds will die down within a few hours after sunset. Otherwise, the rest of the night will be mostly quiet with lows in the mid to upper 30s. There will be a brief clearing of clouds overnight before another upper wave brings in more clouds and possibly light rain in our northern counties near sunrise. && .SHORT TERM /Tomorrow through Friday/... Issued at 500 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 A wave is expected to move through the area Wednesday leading to increased cloud cover and a possibility of rain across our northern counties during the morning hours. The next chance of rain comes Thursday night through Friday as a low pressure system tracks from the northern Great Lakes into Pennsylvania and New York. Models are currently in pretty good agreement on this track of the low, meaning central Indiana will possibly see the back side rain of the system, but should the track shift further west than is currently expected, it could lead to more rain in our area. Will continue to monitor how this low evolves. Behind the low system, a strong ridge leading to dry conditions for the end of the week. Above normal temperatures are expected for the short term period with slightly below normal temps on Friday as the back side of the low will lead to northwesterly flow. && .LONG TERM /Friday night through Tuesday/... Issued at 325 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 Quiet weather is expected for the weekend with high pressure building over the area. Temperatures will be well above normal with highs reaching the 60s throughout the entire area on Sunday. Early next week, models are in good agreement that a system will approach to bring rain to the area. There may be some instability to bring isolated thunderstorms, but probability is low enough to leave out at this time. High confidence in above normal temperature after Friday night. && .AVIATION /Discussion for 040600z TAF Issuance/... Issued at 1142 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 GFS LAMP and SREF support VFR conditions through the TAF period. The one exception could be a brief window of showers and MVFR at KLAF 12z-15z as an upper wave moves through. Low level wind shear is expected as well 10z-15z as a low level jet moves overhead. Southwest winds 5 to 9 knots will shift to the northwest 10 to 15 knots after 16z-18z following the passage of a backdoor weak front. && .IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...KH NEAR TERM...KH SHORT TERM...KH LONG TERM....CP AVIATION...MK