084 FXUS64 KMAF 262311 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 511 PM CST Wed Feb 26 2020 .DISCUSSION... Please see the 00z aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals. Winds will remain below 12kts with veering winds out of the south and southwest this evening. Winds will gradually shift out of the west tomorrow afternoon. Clear skies next 24 hours. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 249 PM CST Wed Feb 26 2020/ DISCUSSION... Another hard freeze is expected Thur morning per decent radiational cooling conditions. Temps will start to moderate Thur PM despite the low-level thermal ridge maintaining a wwd position underneath the NW mid-level flow aloft. More of the same Fri PM, but with seasonal high temps. An anomalous temp pattern does develop over the weekend when the mid-level flow becomes wly and the low-level thermal ridge expands e and n, approx +5 Sat and +10 Sun temp departures. Southerly surface winds will increase Sat across the ern half of the PB. Sunday winds will shift wly with a broad surface low to the n and deep mixing will favor breezy to windy conditions across the plains, probable warning conditions in the GDP Mtns. Mon mid-level flow will back to the sw ahead a trof and we expect clouds will increase and temps will likely decrease some. The chance for precip will increase late Mon night, but is expected to move e by 18Z/Tue, however there is some indication of wrap around SHRA after 18Z/Tue. FIRE WEATHER... We are still looking at a strong drying trend through Sunday. By Sat-Sun fine fuels will probably be into at least high fire danger. We are uncertain just how much drying will appear in the more representative ERC-G fuel spectrum, but it will bounce from the recent high moisture content. As it is now RFTIs on Sunday will probably reach a 4-5, possibly a 6 in a few locations. RFTI of 5-6 would take a 50th-70th percentile ERC-G to get solid Red Flag conditions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 26 64 32 70 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 26 67 33 71 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 28 66 34 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 29 65 35 72 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 26 55 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 26 65 31 69 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 20 60 28 68 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 27 64 33 71 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 27 64 33 71 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 25 67 31 72 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && $$ 87