764 FXUS62 KFFC 240835 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 335 AM EST Mon Feb 24 2020 .SHORT TERM /Today through Tuesday/... Showers will continue to increase over the forecast area in the deep moist southwest flow aloft. Lift across a warm front to our south should help support continued development. In the meantime...a strong upper low will move across the mid MS Valley today into the OH Valley overnight. This will bring a surface cold front into north GA late tonight. Some weak CAPE develops over the area ahead of the front...and as the warm front drifts northward. A slight chance of thunder is mentioned for tonight into Tuesday morning. Models are consistent with showing the cold front drifting into northwest GA and then stalling across central GA by Tuesday afternoon. Some drying is indicated for late tonight into Tuesday for areas generally north of Columbus to Athens. Temperatures will be on a warming trend through Tuesday. Total rainfall amounts through Tuesday afternoon should range from around 1.00 to 1.50 inches. 41 .LONG TERM /Tuesday Night through Sunday/... General trends through the extended forecast period remain fairly consistent with previous runs. Medium-range models continue to push the better chances for precipitation north and east of the area late Wednesday afternoon into the evening as the colder airmass sweeps into the state. Should still see some lingering precipitation in the north, especially the far northeast, for some wintry mix or change over to snow before the precipitation ends late Wednesday night. Available moisture still looks somewhat limited and little or no accumulation is expected outside of the highest elevations of the north Georgia mountains. Dry and cold Thursday through Friday. Another short wave digs into the region Friday night into Saturday. Still a good bit of difference concerning the strength/path of this system. GFS is deeper/sharper and further west with the system digging it through Alabama while the ECMWF is quicker/shallower and sweeps the main short wave energy into the Carolinas. Still, merits at least a mention of slight chance for rain/snow across much of the forecast area. 20 && .AVIATION... 06Z UPDATE... VFR conditions initially with some light showers for the rest of the night. Main shower chances increase and become more widespread after 12z. Ceilings should decrease down to MVFR and low end IFR after around 16z today. Possible 400-600 ft going into this afternoon and overnight Monday. Winds starting out calm to variable then becoming light southeast after 10z this morning. Winds should remain southeast 10 kts or less through the period. Could have MVFR vsbys with any showers. Isolated thunder possible this afternoon and evening but not included in tafs at this time. //ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE... Medium on timing of lowering ceilings. Medium to High on remaining elements. 41 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 53 48 68 49 / 100 100 50 20 Atlanta 55 49 66 46 / 100 100 30 10 Blairsville 49 44 62 41 / 100 100 20 10 Cartersville 54 49 64 44 / 100 100 20 10 Columbus 63 56 70 50 / 100 100 50 20 Gainesville 51 46 63 45 / 100 100 20 10 Macon 62 56 71 52 / 100 100 60 30 Rome 53 49 63 44 / 100 100 10 10 Peachtree City 57 51 68 46 / 100 100 40 10 Vidalia 70 59 72 58 / 90 100 80 60 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...41 LONG TERM....20 AVIATION...41