248 FNUS52 KILM 221345 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 845 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2020 .DISCUSSION... Cold and dry Canadian high pressure will dominate this weekend. Temps will slowly moderate each day, reaching near normal Sun. By Mon, the high will have moved off the Carolina Coasts allowing a warm front to lift across the area. Expect milder temps and showers for Mon thru Tue. A weak cold front will push across late Tue before temporarily stalling. A much stronger cold front will sweep across the region late Wed followed by cold and dry high pressure for the late week period of next week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-230545- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 845 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2020 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount Clear Clear Clear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 51 26 61 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion NONE 1800 42/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 33 82 32 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3090 3960 Transport wnd (mph) N 5 SW 6 Ventilation rate 14210 22770 ADI early 28 Fair 1 Very poor 8 poor ADI late 25 Fair 1 Very poor 40 Fair Max LVORI early 5 4 4 Max LVORI late 2 5 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers near 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 65 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-230545- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 845 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2020 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 51 27 62 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 31/0900 1800 41/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 32 83 33 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3090 4050 Transport wnd (mph) NW 3 SW 10 Ventilation rate 10660 41920 ADI early 20 Gen poor 1 Very poor 10 poor ADI late 14 Gen poor 1 Very poor 54 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 4 5 Max LVORI late 2 6 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 62 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 35 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-230545- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 845 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2020 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 52 27 62 Wnd20ft/early(mph) N 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion NONE 1800 42/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 32 82 31 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3280 4040 Transport wnd (mph) N 5 S 7 Ventilation rate 15090 27880 ADI early 29 Fair 1 Very poor 11 poor ADI late 27 Fair 1 Very poor 34 Fair Max LVORI early 5 4 4 Max LVORI late 2 5 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 73 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 65 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230545- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 845 AM EST Sat Feb 22 2020 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount Clear Clear Mclear Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 53 27 62 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 33/0900 1800 41/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 32 85 31 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 4 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3370 3930 Transport wnd (mph) NW 3 SW 10 Ventilation rate 11630 40680 ADI early 17 Gen poor 1 Very poor 11 poor ADI late 16 Gen poor 1 Very poor 49 Gen good Max LVORI early 6 4 6 Max LVORI late 2 6 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers near 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ 31